Seoul Average Temperature Forecasting

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DACON competition : Seoul Average Temperature Forecasting

Competition , Dec. 2023 ~ Jan. 2024

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Software Stacks

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Competition Topic

Time Series Forecasting

Forecasting Seoul's average temperature from previous time series(temperature) data.

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Implementation

1. Dataset

• Seoul Temperatures : Average daily temperature data from 1960 to 2022

2. Data preprocessing

• Process "NULL" values
• Drop unusal features

3. Model Selection

• Time Series Forecasting Model
• Tried method : ARIMA Model, Prophet ...
• Patch Mixer :: Gong, Zeying, Yujin Tang, and Junwei Liang. "Patchmixer: A patch-mixing architecture for long-term time series forecasting." arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.00655 (2023).
• code reference : tsf-new-paper-taste : github

4. Hyperparameter

• SEQ_LEN = 716
• PATCH_LEN = 1
• STRIDE = 2
• EPOCHS = 100

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Result

• Top 4% , Mean absolute error 2.6186 (in private data)