Skip to content

Commit

Permalink
Cleanup
Browse files Browse the repository at this point in the history
  • Loading branch information
kinto-b committed Aug 30, 2023
1 parent efbac54 commit 7bc747d
Show file tree
Hide file tree
Showing 3 changed files with 2 additions and 62 deletions.
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion README.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -152,7 +152,7 @@ therefore, predict an ALP loss in 2019.

Given that this is exactly the opposite of what one might guess looking
at raw polls alone, and that 2019 was a notorious miss in terms of
election predictions with many analysts predicting an ALP win, we can
election predictions, with many analysts predicting an ALP win, we can
feel very satisfied with this result.

# Diagnostics.
Expand Down
2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion README.qmd
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -148,7 +148,7 @@ ps_sim |>

Thus we see that of our 10,000 simulations, the ALP manages to achieve a majority (i.e. win >75 seats) in under 40% of them. We would, therefore, predict an ALP loss in 2019.

Given that this is exactly the opposite of what one might guess looking at raw polls alone, and that 2019 was a notorious miss in terms of election predictions -- with many analysts predicting an ALP win, we can feel very satisfied with this result.
Given that this is exactly the opposite of what one might guess looking at raw polls alone, and that 2019 was a notorious miss in terms of election predictions, with many analysts predicting an ALP win, we can feel very satisfied with this result.


# Diagnostics.
Expand Down
60 changes: 0 additions & 60 deletions models/mrp2.stan

This file was deleted.

0 comments on commit 7bc747d

Please sign in to comment.