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Statistical estimator updates (#415)
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* Fixes Joe's testimonial spacing

* Added additional testimonials

* Added additional testimonials

* Fixed new LinkedIn testimonial links

* Update Itsy Bitsy product screens

* Update Itsy Bitsy product screens

* Update Itsy Bitsy product screens

* Statistical Estimating updates

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Co-authored-by: Paul Herzog <[email protected]>
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pherzog-bitovi and Paul Herzog authored Jan 15, 2024
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4 changes: 2 additions & 2 deletions src/program-management-with-jira/8-estimating.md
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Expand Up @@ -96,11 +96,11 @@ If this is confusing, don’t worry, we built an app to help teams understand ho

By default, the tool uses “Days” instead of “Story Points” and “Velocity” to represent a median time estimate. We use days for now because it makes things more concrete than story points.

Notice the tool defaults to an estimate of 10 days and a confidence of 60%. It uses these values to predict the work has a `90%` chance of being complete in `22 days`.
Notice the tool defaults to an estimate of 10 days and a confidence of 50%. It uses these values to predict the work has a `90%` chance of being complete in `25 days`.

<img src="../static/img/program-management-with-jira/estimating/likelihood-selected.png" class="content-400-800-shadow"/>

This `90%` likelihood value of `22 days` is what we use in our projections of the timeline.
This `90%` likelihood value of `25 days` is what we use in our projections of the timeline.

Also, notice the graph below, this shows how the likelihood of completion gets higher with the number of days:

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