Judicial Ideology in the House of Lords: A Jurimetric Analysis Author(s): David Robertson Source: British Journal of Political Science, Vol. 12, No. 1 (Jan., 1982), pp. 1-25 Published by: Cambridge University Press Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/193719 . Accessed: 09/05/2014 10:06
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This content downloaded from 194.29.185.42 on Fri, 9 May 2014 10:06:58 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions B.J.Pol.S. 12, 1-25 I Printed in Great Britain
Judicial Ideology in the House of Lords: A Jurimetric Analysis
DAVID ROBERTSON*
For a variety of reasons political science in Britain has made no serious attempt to study courts and judges as political institutions and actors. Or at least this was true until recently. Several works in the last few years, especially Griffith's,1 Stevens's2 and a forthcoming book on the law lords by Alan Paterson,3 have pointed to a much needed change in this attitude. However, none of them have been works of political science, even though they have considered politics. By this I mean two things: they have not principally considered the judges' thoughts as political ideology; and they have not used the techniques and assumptions of rigorous, analytic political science. Indeed one of the few slightly earlier studies of the political role of the courts in Britain, by Morrison,4 specifically denies that such approaches, especially the statistical approach of jurimetrics, is possible in Britain. This article is an attempt to do the impossible, not so much because the author believes that Morrison's point is necessarily wrong, but because it is never sound methodology to abandon techniques that have been useful elsewhere without trying to make them work on different data sets. But first we must attempt to characterize the judicial role, before we try any study of the politics that may be attendant on judicial ideology. For political science there are perhaps three broad characterizations of the judicial role. I will identify these, for convenience, as the realist model, the class model, and the orthodox model. The realist model comes from the American tradition in the early decades of this century, best exemplified in works like Jerome Frank's Law and the Modern Mind and Llewellyn's The Bramble Bush.6 These assume, broadly, that legal decisions are never determined in any firm way by the rules, precedents and arguments in the court. Rather a judge does, and must, come to his decision intuitively, and then only rationalizes it by the legal material. In itself this says nothing about the types of decision a judge makes, and not much about how he comes to his intuitions. It was left to a school of political scientists in the I950S and I96os, associated with Glendon Schubert,7 to fill in these details.
- St Hugh's College, Oxford. J John A. G. Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary (London: Fontana, 1977). 2 Robert Stevens, Law and Politics. the House of Lords as a Judicial Body, I80oo-976 (London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 1979). 3 Alan Paterson, The Law Lords (forthcoming, I98I). 4 Fred L. Morrison, Courts and the Political Process in England (London: Sage, I973). 5 Jerome Frank, Law and the Modern Mind (New York: Tudor, 1936). 6 Karl Llewellyn, The Bramble Bush (New York: Columbia University Press, I930). 7 Glendon Schubert, The Judicial Mind (Evanston: Northwestern University Press, I965). P.p.
B.J.Pol.S. 12, 1-25 I Printed in Great Britain
Judicial Ideology in the House of Lords: A Jurimetric Analysis
DAVID ROBERTSON*
For a variety of reasons political science in Britain has made no serious attempt to study courts and judges as political institutions and actors. Or at least this was true until recently. Several works in the last few years, especially Griffith's,1 Stevens's2 and a forthcoming book on the law lords by Alan Paterson,3 have pointed to a much needed change in this attitude. However, none of them have been works of political science, even though they have considered politics. By this I mean two things: they have not principally considered the judges' thoughts as political ideology; and they have not used the techniques and assumptions of rigorous, analytic political science. Indeed one of the few slightly earlier studies of the political role of the courts in Britain, by Morrison,4 specifically denies that such approaches, especially the statistical approach of jurimetrics, is possible in Britain. This article is an attempt to do the impossible, not so much because the author believes that Morrison's point is necessarily wrong, but because it is never sound methodology to abandon techniques that have been useful elsewhere without trying to make them work on different data sets. But first we must attempt to characterize the judicial role, before we try any study of the politics that may be attendant on judicial ideology. For political science there are perhaps three broad characterizations of the judicial role. I will identify these, for convenience, as the realist model, the class model, and the orthodox model. The realist model comes from the American tradition in the early decades of this century, best exemplified in works like Jerome Frank's Law and the Modern Mind and Llewellyn's The Bramble Bush.6 These assume, broadly, that legal decisions are never determined in any firm way by the rules, precedents and arguments in the court. Rather a judge does, and must, come to his decision intuitively, and then only rationalizes it by the legal material. In itself this says nothing about the types of decision a judge makes, and not much about how he comes to his intuitions. It was left to a school of political scientists in the I950S and I96os, associated with Glendon Schubert,7 to fill in these details.
- St Hugh's College, Oxford. J John A. G. Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary (London: Fontana, 1977). 2 Robert Stevens, Law and Politics. the House of Lords as a Judicial Body, I80oo-976 (London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 1979). 3 Alan Paterson, The Law Lords (forthcoming, I98I). 4 Fred L. Morrison, Courts and the Political Process in England (London: Sage, I973). 5 Jerome Frank, Law and the Modern Mind (New York: Tudor, 1936). 6 Karl Llewellyn, The Bramble Bush (New York: Columbia University Press, I930). 7 Glendon Schubert, The Judicial Mind (Evanston: Northwestern University Press, I965). P.p.
B.J.Pol.S. 12, 1-25 I Printed in Great Britain
Judicial Ideology in the House of Lords: A Jurimetric Analysis
DAVID ROBERTSON*
For a variety of reasons political science in Britain has made no serious attempt to study courts and judges as political institutions and actors. Or at least this was true until recently. Several works in the last few years, especially Griffith's,1 Stevens's2 and a forthcoming book on the law lords by Alan Paterson,3 have pointed to a much needed change in this attitude. However, none of them have been works of political science, even though they have considered politics. By this I mean two things: they have not principally considered the judges' thoughts as political ideology; and they have not used the techniques and assumptions of rigorous, analytic political science. Indeed one of the few slightly earlier studies of the political role of the courts in Britain, by Morrison,4 specifically denies that such approaches, especially the statistical approach of jurimetrics, is possible in Britain. This article is an attempt to do the impossible, not so much because the author believes that Morrison's point is necessarily wrong, but because it is never sound methodology to abandon techniques that have been useful elsewhere without trying to make them work on different data sets. But first we must attempt to characterize the judicial role, before we try any study of the politics that may be attendant on judicial ideology. For political science there are perhaps three broad characterizations of the judicial role. I will identify these, for convenience, as the realist model, the class model, and the orthodox model. The realist model comes from the American tradition in the early decades of this century, best exemplified in works like Jerome Frank's Law and the Modern Mind and Llewellyn's The Bramble Bush.6 These assume, broadly, that legal decisions are never determined in any firm way by the rules, precedents and arguments in the court. Rather a judge does, and must, come to his decision intuitively, and then only rationalizes it by the legal material. In itself this says nothing about the types of decision a judge makes, and not much about how he comes to his intuitions. It was left to a school of political scientists in the I950S and I96os, associated with Glendon Schubert,7 to fill in these details.
- St Hugh's College, Oxford. J John A. G. Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary (London: Fontana, 1977). 2 Robert Stevens, Law and Politics. the House of Lords as a Judicial Body, I80oo-976 (London: Weidenfeld and Nicolson, 1979). 3 Alan Paterson, The Law Lords (forthcoming, I98I). 4 Fred L. Morrison, Courts and the Political Process in England (London: Sage, I973). 5 Jerome Frank, Law and the Modern Mind (New York: Tudor, 1936). 6 Karl Llewellyn, The Bramble Bush (New York: Columbia University Press, I930). 7 Glendon Schubert, The Judicial Mind (Evanston: Northwestern University Press, I965). P.p.
This content downloaded from 194.29.185.42 on Fri, 9 May 2014 10:06:58 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 2 ROBERTSON
The class model is broader still as a label, but refers mainly to Marxist attacks on the law and the courts of 'bourgeois' states. The best recent example is J. A. G. Griffith's The Politics of the Judiciary.8 He makes two characteristic claims in this book, although he seldom disentangles them himself. Primarily he argues that discretionary problems in law are solved by judges consulting their own notion of 'public interest', which is made up of a belief that the State must be protected from danger, including 'moral' danger, that legislation should be limited in its effects on property and other 'bourgeois' freedoms, and that a general political philosophy associated with the Conservative party should prevail.9 The second assumption that he seems to make is that judges, in so acting, are acting out of a class-conditioned perspective, as agents of a dominant socio-economic group. Thus it is not so much the private and perhaps idiosyncratic intuitions of judges unprovided with determinate law, but the deliberate and systematic protection of a particular class that characterizes discretionary judgments.10 One of the class model's major drawbacks is that, by treating judges as largely interchangeable, it does not enable us to differentiate various profiles of judicial ideology. If judges are taken as ideologically homogenous, we can learn nothing in detail about how they do operate, and nothing about the predisposing - I am hesitant to say causal - elements. The third, orthodox, model is hard to describe but approximates to the public lawyer's interpretation of a broadly Austinian theory. It has little of a systematic nature to say about the uses of discretion. I mean by it the working assumptions of lawyers and political scientists interested in public law. It contains perhaps the three following assumptions:
(i) Discretion does exist, because statutes are sometimes vague, or precedents missing or conflicting. (2) Most judges most of the time will try very hard to stick within the clear meaning of the statute or the guidance of precedent. Some will from time to time try to develop the law to fit modern needs, but this 'public policy horse' is dangerous, to be ridden seldom and cautiously. (3) Where 'difficult cases' do crop up, some judges will act from personal idiosyncrasy, but these are mainly self-cancelling unsystematic quirks, not representing an intrusion of class ideology, and too limited to fit the realist model of permanent intuition. It is difficult, if not impossible, to test any of these models. Not only are their predictions entirely unclear, but, as a philosopher of science would say, they use different observation languages. However, they are basically empirical propositions, and raise questions that need to be answered empirically. The empirical work on judicial decision making known to political science
8 See fn.i. 9 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. I95. 10 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. 2o8f.
The class model is broader still as a label, but refers mainly to Marxist attacks on the law and the courts of 'bourgeois' states. The best recent example is J. A. G. Griffith's The Politics of the Judiciary.8 He makes two characteristic claims in this book, although he seldom disentangles them himself. Primarily he argues that discretionary problems in law are solved by judges consulting their own notion of 'public interest', which is made up of a belief that the State must be protected from danger, including 'moral' danger, that legislation should be limited in its effects on property and other 'bourgeois' freedoms, and that a general political philosophy associated with the Conservative party should prevail.9 The second assumption that he seems to make is that judges, in so acting, are acting out of a class-conditioned perspective, as agents of a dominant socio-economic group. Thus it is not so much the private and perhaps idiosyncratic intuitions of judges unprovided with determinate law, but the deliberate and systematic protection of a particular class that characterizes discretionary judgments.10 One of the class model's major drawbacks is that, by treating judges as largely interchangeable, it does not enable us to differentiate various profiles of judicial ideology. If judges are taken as ideologically homogenous, we can learn nothing in detail about how they do operate, and nothing about the predisposing - I am hesitant to say causal - elements. The third, orthodox, model is hard to describe but approximates to the public lawyer's interpretation of a broadly Austinian theory. It has little of a systematic nature to say about the uses of discretion. I mean by it the working assumptions of lawyers and political scientists interested in public law. It contains perhaps the three following assumptions:
(i) Discretion does exist, because statutes are sometimes vague, or precedents missing or conflicting. (2) Most judges most of the time will try very hard to stick within the clear meaning of the statute or the guidance of precedent. Some will from time to time try to develop the law to fit modern needs, but this 'public policy horse' is dangerous, to be ridden seldom and cautiously. (3) Where 'difficult cases' do crop up, some judges will act from personal idiosyncrasy, but these are mainly self-cancelling unsystematic quirks, not representing an intrusion of class ideology, and too limited to fit the realist model of permanent intuition. It is difficult, if not impossible, to test any of these models. Not only are their predictions entirely unclear, but, as a philosopher of science would say, they use different observation languages. However, they are basically empirical propositions, and raise questions that need to be answered empirically. The empirical work on judicial decision making known to political science
8 See fn.i. 9 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. I95. 10 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. 2o8f.
The class model is broader still as a label, but refers mainly to Marxist attacks on the law and the courts of 'bourgeois' states. The best recent example is J. A. G. Griffith's The Politics of the Judiciary.8 He makes two characteristic claims in this book, although he seldom disentangles them himself. Primarily he argues that discretionary problems in law are solved by judges consulting their own notion of 'public interest', which is made up of a belief that the State must be protected from danger, including 'moral' danger, that legislation should be limited in its effects on property and other 'bourgeois' freedoms, and that a general political philosophy associated with the Conservative party should prevail.9 The second assumption that he seems to make is that judges, in so acting, are acting out of a class-conditioned perspective, as agents of a dominant socio-economic group. Thus it is not so much the private and perhaps idiosyncratic intuitions of judges unprovided with determinate law, but the deliberate and systematic protection of a particular class that characterizes discretionary judgments.10 One of the class model's major drawbacks is that, by treating judges as largely interchangeable, it does not enable us to differentiate various profiles of judicial ideology. If judges are taken as ideologically homogenous, we can learn nothing in detail about how they do operate, and nothing about the predisposing - I am hesitant to say causal - elements. The third, orthodox, model is hard to describe but approximates to the public lawyer's interpretation of a broadly Austinian theory. It has little of a systematic nature to say about the uses of discretion. I mean by it the working assumptions of lawyers and political scientists interested in public law. It contains perhaps the three following assumptions:
(i) Discretion does exist, because statutes are sometimes vague, or precedents missing or conflicting. (2) Most judges most of the time will try very hard to stick within the clear meaning of the statute or the guidance of precedent. Some will from time to time try to develop the law to fit modern needs, but this 'public policy horse' is dangerous, to be ridden seldom and cautiously. (3) Where 'difficult cases' do crop up, some judges will act from personal idiosyncrasy, but these are mainly self-cancelling unsystematic quirks, not representing an intrusion of class ideology, and too limited to fit the realist model of permanent intuition. It is difficult, if not impossible, to test any of these models. Not only are their predictions entirely unclear, but, as a philosopher of science would say, they use different observation languages. However, they are basically empirical propositions, and raise questions that need to be answered empirically. The empirical work on judicial decision making known to political science
8 See fn.i. 9 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. I95. 10 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. 2o8f.
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comes from the American realist tradition, under the name of 'judicial behaviour', and has been carried out principally on the Supreme Courts of the United States, Canada and Australia.11 Its celebrated paradigm is Schubert's The Judicial Mind,12 a classic of what has been called 'jurimetrics'. This involves complex statistical analysis of the voting by Supreme Court judges in 'political' cases during the I950s and I96os. Its principal conclusion, that these judges can be seen as arrayed on two intercorrelated dimensions, 'political liberalism' and 'economic liberalism', with several minor dimensions, is well known. It is often overlooked that Schubert's work is not just descriptive data-analysis. The data-analysis is informed by, and partially intended as a test of, a highly specified, if obscure, psychological model of stimulus perception and choice-making that is influenced by the 'cognitive psychology' of Coombs.13 The most important criticism of Schubert and his associates is Karl Becker's Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence.14 This stresses the central importance of the judge's own notion of his role, and especially of the degree of his commitment to principles like that of stare decisis.15 Becker argues that although judges may have, or be forced to consult, a private ideology, and may be influenced by emotional reactions to the facts and personalities of the case, they are highly trained, and therefore highly socialized, professionals.16 Come what may, the ideology and the emotions consulted are those of judges. Although research like Schubert's is very useful, the dimensions that emerge as characterizing judicial ideology ought, at least partially, to represent judicial differences on essentially 'professional judicial' questions.17 However, Schubert's approach is markedly superior to most class analysis, and certainly to that of Griffith, because it fixes firmly on the judicial decision. We therefore need to offer, with due caution, an individuating descriptive account of judicial ideology, on the basis of unambiguous and standardizable data. Even the orthodox view invites research of Schubert's type, although not with his theoretical presuppositions. It accepts that there is discretion on the margin, and that sometimes it is influenced by judicial prejudice. But it is silent on how much and how salient and systematic such 'prejudicial' decision
ll For example, the case studies contained in Glendon Schubert and David Danelski, eds, Comparative Judicial Behavior (New York: Oxford University Press, I969). 12 Schubert, The Judicial Mind, and also Glendon Schubert, The Judicial Mind Revisited (New York: Oxford University Press, I974). 13 Clyde H. Coombs, A Theory of Data (New York: Wiley, i964). 14 Karl Becker, Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence (Chicago: Rand McNally, I965). 15 Becker, Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence, p. 105. 16 Becker, Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence, p. 243. 17 This position has become common now in American political science, where survey examinations of judges' role expectations have often been carried out. Some comparative work of this type has also been done.
comes from the American realist tradition, under the name of 'judicial behaviour', and has been carried out principally on the Supreme Courts of the United States, Canada and Australia.11 Its celebrated paradigm is Schubert's The Judicial Mind,12 a classic of what has been called 'jurimetrics'. This involves complex statistical analysis of the voting by Supreme Court judges in 'political' cases during the I950s and I96os. Its principal conclusion, that these judges can be seen as arrayed on two intercorrelated dimensions, 'political liberalism' and 'economic liberalism', with several minor dimensions, is well known. It is often overlooked that Schubert's work is not just descriptive data-analysis. The data-analysis is informed by, and partially intended as a test of, a highly specified, if obscure, psychological model of stimulus perception and choice-making that is influenced by the 'cognitive psychology' of Coombs.13 The most important criticism of Schubert and his associates is Karl Becker's Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence.14 This stresses the central importance of the judge's own notion of his role, and especially of the degree of his commitment to principles like that of stare decisis.15 Becker argues that although judges may have, or be forced to consult, a private ideology, and may be influenced by emotional reactions to the facts and personalities of the case, they are highly trained, and therefore highly socialized, professionals.16 Come what may, the ideology and the emotions consulted are those of judges. Although research like Schubert's is very useful, the dimensions that emerge as characterizing judicial ideology ought, at least partially, to represent judicial differences on essentially 'professional judicial' questions.17 However, Schubert's approach is markedly superior to most class analysis, and certainly to that of Griffith, because it fixes firmly on the judicial decision. We therefore need to offer, with due caution, an individuating descriptive account of judicial ideology, on the basis of unambiguous and standardizable data. Even the orthodox view invites research of Schubert's type, although not with his theoretical presuppositions. It accepts that there is discretion on the margin, and that sometimes it is influenced by judicial prejudice. But it is silent on how much and how salient and systematic such 'prejudicial' decision
ll For example, the case studies contained in Glendon Schubert and David Danelski, eds, Comparative Judicial Behavior (New York: Oxford University Press, I969). 12 Schubert, The Judicial Mind, and also Glendon Schubert, The Judicial Mind Revisited (New York: Oxford University Press, I974). 13 Clyde H. Coombs, A Theory of Data (New York: Wiley, i964). 14 Karl Becker, Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence (Chicago: Rand McNally, I965). 15 Becker, Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence, p. 105. 16 Becker, Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence, p. 243. 17 This position has become common now in American political science, where survey examinations of judges' role expectations have often been carried out. Some comparative work of this type has also been done.
comes from the American realist tradition, under the name of 'judicial behaviour', and has been carried out principally on the Supreme Courts of the United States, Canada and Australia.11 Its celebrated paradigm is Schubert's The Judicial Mind,12 a classic of what has been called 'jurimetrics'. This involves complex statistical analysis of the voting by Supreme Court judges in 'political' cases during the I950s and I96os. Its principal conclusion, that these judges can be seen as arrayed on two intercorrelated dimensions, 'political liberalism' and 'economic liberalism', with several minor dimensions, is well known. It is often overlooked that Schubert's work is not just descriptive data-analysis. The data-analysis is informed by, and partially intended as a test of, a highly specified, if obscure, psychological model of stimulus perception and choice-making that is influenced by the 'cognitive psychology' of Coombs.13 The most important criticism of Schubert and his associates is Karl Becker's Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence.14 This stresses the central importance of the judge's own notion of his role, and especially of the degree of his commitment to principles like that of stare decisis.15 Becker argues that although judges may have, or be forced to consult, a private ideology, and may be influenced by emotional reactions to the facts and personalities of the case, they are highly trained, and therefore highly socialized, professionals.16 Come what may, the ideology and the emotions consulted are those of judges. Although research like Schubert's is very useful, the dimensions that emerge as characterizing judicial ideology ought, at least partially, to represent judicial differences on essentially 'professional judicial' questions.17 However, Schubert's approach is markedly superior to most class analysis, and certainly to that of Griffith, because it fixes firmly on the judicial decision. We therefore need to offer, with due caution, an individuating descriptive account of judicial ideology, on the basis of unambiguous and standardizable data. Even the orthodox view invites research of Schubert's type, although not with his theoretical presuppositions. It accepts that there is discretion on the margin, and that sometimes it is influenced by judicial prejudice. But it is silent on how much and how salient and systematic such 'prejudicial' decision
ll For example, the case studies contained in Glendon Schubert and David Danelski, eds, Comparative Judicial Behavior (New York: Oxford University Press, I969). 12 Schubert, The Judicial Mind, and also Glendon Schubert, The Judicial Mind Revisited (New York: Oxford University Press, I974). 13 Clyde H. Coombs, A Theory of Data (New York: Wiley, i964). 14 Karl Becker, Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence (Chicago: Rand McNally, I965). 15 Becker, Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence, p. 105. 16 Becker, Political Behaviouralism and Modern Jurisprudence, p. 243. 17 This position has become common now in American political science, where survey examinations of judges' role expectations have often been carried out. Some comparative work of this type has also been done.
3
This content downloaded from 194.29.185.42 on Fri, 9 May 2014 10:06:58 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 4 ROBERTSON
making is. If one can demonstrate that there are fairly fixed and specifiable dimensions of judicial ideology, operating over a fairly wide field, the orthodox model may have a certain amount of explaining, and explaining away, to do. The data analysis in this article is only exploratory. The whole exercise is an attempt to see if such an approach may be useful and justified in general. I give rather more attention therefore to the methodology and its potential weaknesses than is usual. Indeed, while I hope that the analysis itself is interesting, the methodology is in some ways the core of this discussion. Very broadly, the article attempts to create a statistical model of the similarities and differences between judicial styles. The model expresses these similarities in terms of abstract numerical dimensions. These dimensions have, in themselves, no substantive meaning. Meaning can only be given by a second stage in the analysis - interpreting these dimensions - which I attempt by looking at how groups of judges at different ends of these dimensions react to particular sorts of cases. The third stage is to show how changing membership of the court has affected the salience of the two primary dimensions I analyse. At this stage I also look at the relationship between a judge's position on each of the separate dimensions. The final part of the article attempts to sketch a more general theory of the intellectual orientations that might lead judges to occupy varied 'ideological' positions. I offer some evidence to support the idea that these are orientations to the very business of being an appellate judge. It should be borne in mind throughout that my attitude is one of great respect to the judiciary, and that I end by making the notion of judicial ideology a matter of intellectual and professional preference, not a psychological drive.
RESEARCH OUTLINE AND METHODOLOGICAL PROBLEMS
Basic Premises
Judicial decision making in English Appellate Courts is partly discretionary. My basic premise is that, where discretion exists, an individual judge's voting will be influenced by his beliefs and attitudes inside a specifically legal and 'professional' ideology. This 'ideology' will vary from judge to judge, and whether it is conservative or not, will be complicated both by individual variation with respect to any one aspect of the ideology, and also by the ideology having several aspects. There is no reason to believe that judges' views on the separate aspects will be correlated, although they may be. These ideological variances should in part account for fairly stable groupings of judges, and should be discoverable, at least in crude form, by analysis of voting.
making is. If one can demonstrate that there are fairly fixed and specifiable dimensions of judicial ideology, operating over a fairly wide field, the orthodox model may have a certain amount of explaining, and explaining away, to do. The data analysis in this article is only exploratory. The whole exercise is an attempt to see if such an approach may be useful and justified in general. I give rather more attention therefore to the methodology and its potential weaknesses than is usual. Indeed, while I hope that the analysis itself is interesting, the methodology is in some ways the core of this discussion. Very broadly, the article attempts to create a statistical model of the similarities and differences between judicial styles. The model expresses these similarities in terms of abstract numerical dimensions. These dimensions have, in themselves, no substantive meaning. Meaning can only be given by a second stage in the analysis - interpreting these dimensions - which I attempt by looking at how groups of judges at different ends of these dimensions react to particular sorts of cases. The third stage is to show how changing membership of the court has affected the salience of the two primary dimensions I analyse. At this stage I also look at the relationship between a judge's position on each of the separate dimensions. The final part of the article attempts to sketch a more general theory of the intellectual orientations that might lead judges to occupy varied 'ideological' positions. I offer some evidence to support the idea that these are orientations to the very business of being an appellate judge. It should be borne in mind throughout that my attitude is one of great respect to the judiciary, and that I end by making the notion of judicial ideology a matter of intellectual and professional preference, not a psychological drive.
RESEARCH OUTLINE AND METHODOLOGICAL PROBLEMS
Basic Premises
Judicial decision making in English Appellate Courts is partly discretionary. My basic premise is that, where discretion exists, an individual judge's voting will be influenced by his beliefs and attitudes inside a specifically legal and 'professional' ideology. This 'ideology' will vary from judge to judge, and whether it is conservative or not, will be complicated both by individual variation with respect to any one aspect of the ideology, and also by the ideology having several aspects. There is no reason to believe that judges' views on the separate aspects will be correlated, although they may be. These ideological variances should in part account for fairly stable groupings of judges, and should be discoverable, at least in crude form, by analysis of voting.
making is. If one can demonstrate that there are fairly fixed and specifiable dimensions of judicial ideology, operating over a fairly wide field, the orthodox model may have a certain amount of explaining, and explaining away, to do. The data analysis in this article is only exploratory. The whole exercise is an attempt to see if such an approach may be useful and justified in general. I give rather more attention therefore to the methodology and its potential weaknesses than is usual. Indeed, while I hope that the analysis itself is interesting, the methodology is in some ways the core of this discussion. Very broadly, the article attempts to create a statistical model of the similarities and differences between judicial styles. The model expresses these similarities in terms of abstract numerical dimensions. These dimensions have, in themselves, no substantive meaning. Meaning can only be given by a second stage in the analysis - interpreting these dimensions - which I attempt by looking at how groups of judges at different ends of these dimensions react to particular sorts of cases. The third stage is to show how changing membership of the court has affected the salience of the two primary dimensions I analyse. At this stage I also look at the relationship between a judge's position on each of the separate dimensions. The final part of the article attempts to sketch a more general theory of the intellectual orientations that might lead judges to occupy varied 'ideological' positions. I offer some evidence to support the idea that these are orientations to the very business of being an appellate judge. It should be borne in mind throughout that my attitude is one of great respect to the judiciary, and that I end by making the notion of judicial ideology a matter of intellectual and professional preference, not a psychological drive.
RESEARCH OUTLINE AND METHODOLOGICAL PROBLEMS
Basic Premises
Judicial decision making in English Appellate Courts is partly discretionary. My basic premise is that, where discretion exists, an individual judge's voting will be influenced by his beliefs and attitudes inside a specifically legal and 'professional' ideology. This 'ideology' will vary from judge to judge, and whether it is conservative or not, will be complicated both by individual variation with respect to any one aspect of the ideology, and also by the ideology having several aspects. There is no reason to believe that judges' views on the separate aspects will be correlated, although they may be. These ideological variances should in part account for fairly stable groupings of judges, and should be discoverable, at least in crude form, by analysis of voting.
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Selection of Data
Decisions on cases decided by the House of Lords over a twelve-year period were studied, mainly through statistical analysis. The House of Lords Appellate Committee was chosen because it is the only English court not absolutely bound by precedent, and thus the possibility of discretion in judgment is at its highest. As it is also the final court of appeal this possibility is increased, both because it only gets difficult cases, and because it need not fear being overruled. In addition, the incidence of dissent, vital for this type of analysis, is higher than in any other multi-member court in the United Kingdom. The principal analysis is carried out only on cases where decisions were not unanimous.
The Basic Method and its Justification
It is assumed that a judicial ideology of the type hypothesized will show itself in two ways - by causing some pairs of judges to think more alike than others, and by causing judges to vary in the preponderance of their votes for particular sides in cases characterized by certain issues. Both of these assumptions are also made by judicial behaviouralists in the United States, although they conceptualize the problem differently, and use different techniques. Thus the basic method has two stages. The first extracts from data on judicial voting some description of the degree of affinity between judges. The second explores whether or not these affinity relationships are correlated with differences in support for certain types of litigant. In the first stage we take the cases for the period and construct a measure of agreement for each pair of judges where this is possible. The 'agreement index' is simply the proportion of all cases the pair of judges heard together on which they voted the same way. This matrix says nothing about the direction of influence in agreement, or the depth of agreement in detail, but reflects only the fact of concurring or dissenting judgments. The 'agreement index' matrix is decomposed by multi-dimensional analysis into a two dimensional representation of judicial agreement. This represents the agreement/disagreement ratios of judges in what is hoped is an intuitively comprehensible way. The more judges agree, the closer their positions are in the underlying assumed 'ideological space'. The idea of 'ideological space' is, of course, only a metaphor, but a useful one. The second stage tries to identify the as yet meaningless dimensions of this space. This is done by taking several basic categories of cases where different 'sides' can be unambiguously and meaningfully identified. The tendency of a judge to vote for a particular side is measured by the proportion of all cases in a particular category in which he gave judgment for that side. These 'category scores' are correlated in various ways with the positions of the judges on each dimension. The resulting pattern, in which the dimensions of the spatial representation are shown to be correlated with category voting, is
Judicial Ideology in the House of Lords 5
Selection of Data
Decisions on cases decided by the House of Lords over a twelve-year period were studied, mainly through statistical analysis. The House of Lords Appellate Committee was chosen because it is the only English court not absolutely bound by precedent, and thus the possibility of discretion in judgment is at its highest. As it is also the final court of appeal this possibility is increased, both because it only gets difficult cases, and because it need not fear being overruled. In addition, the incidence of dissent, vital for this type of analysis, is higher than in any other multi-member court in the United Kingdom. The principal analysis is carried out only on cases where decisions were not unanimous.
The Basic Method and its Justification
It is assumed that a judicial ideology of the type hypothesized will show itself in two ways - by causing some pairs of judges to think more alike than others, and by causing judges to vary in the preponderance of their votes for particular sides in cases characterized by certain issues. Both of these assumptions are also made by judicial behaviouralists in the United States, although they conceptualize the problem differently, and use different techniques. Thus the basic method has two stages. The first extracts from data on judicial voting some description of the degree of affinity between judges. The second explores whether or not these affinity relationships are correlated with differences in support for certain types of litigant. In the first stage we take the cases for the period and construct a measure of agreement for each pair of judges where this is possible. The 'agreement index' is simply the proportion of all cases the pair of judges heard together on which they voted the same way. This matrix says nothing about the direction of influence in agreement, or the depth of agreement in detail, but reflects only the fact of concurring or dissenting judgments. The 'agreement index' matrix is decomposed by multi-dimensional analysis into a two dimensional representation of judicial agreement. This represents the agreement/disagreement ratios of judges in what is hoped is an intuitively comprehensible way. The more judges agree, the closer their positions are in the underlying assumed 'ideological space'. The idea of 'ideological space' is, of course, only a metaphor, but a useful one. The second stage tries to identify the as yet meaningless dimensions of this space. This is done by taking several basic categories of cases where different 'sides' can be unambiguously and meaningfully identified. The tendency of a judge to vote for a particular side is measured by the proportion of all cases in a particular category in which he gave judgment for that side. These 'category scores' are correlated in various ways with the positions of the judges on each dimension. The resulting pattern, in which the dimensions of the spatial representation are shown to be correlated with category voting, is
Judicial Ideology in the House of Lords 5
Selection of Data
Decisions on cases decided by the House of Lords over a twelve-year period were studied, mainly through statistical analysis. The House of Lords Appellate Committee was chosen because it is the only English court not absolutely bound by precedent, and thus the possibility of discretion in judgment is at its highest. As it is also the final court of appeal this possibility is increased, both because it only gets difficult cases, and because it need not fear being overruled. In addition, the incidence of dissent, vital for this type of analysis, is higher than in any other multi-member court in the United Kingdom. The principal analysis is carried out only on cases where decisions were not unanimous.
The Basic Method and its Justification
It is assumed that a judicial ideology of the type hypothesized will show itself in two ways - by causing some pairs of judges to think more alike than others, and by causing judges to vary in the preponderance of their votes for particular sides in cases characterized by certain issues. Both of these assumptions are also made by judicial behaviouralists in the United States, although they conceptualize the problem differently, and use different techniques. Thus the basic method has two stages. The first extracts from data on judicial voting some description of the degree of affinity between judges. The second explores whether or not these affinity relationships are correlated with differences in support for certain types of litigant. In the first stage we take the cases for the period and construct a measure of agreement for each pair of judges where this is possible. The 'agreement index' is simply the proportion of all cases the pair of judges heard together on which they voted the same way. This matrix says nothing about the direction of influence in agreement, or the depth of agreement in detail, but reflects only the fact of concurring or dissenting judgments. The 'agreement index' matrix is decomposed by multi-dimensional analysis into a two dimensional representation of judicial agreement. This represents the agreement/disagreement ratios of judges in what is hoped is an intuitively comprehensible way. The more judges agree, the closer their positions are in the underlying assumed 'ideological space'. The idea of 'ideological space' is, of course, only a metaphor, but a useful one. The second stage tries to identify the as yet meaningless dimensions of this space. This is done by taking several basic categories of cases where different 'sides' can be unambiguously and meaningfully identified. The tendency of a judge to vote for a particular side is measured by the proportion of all cases in a particular category in which he gave judgment for that side. These 'category scores' are correlated in various ways with the positions of the judges on each dimension. The resulting pattern, in which the dimensions of the spatial representation are shown to be correlated with category voting, is
This content downloaded from 194.29.185.42 on Fri, 9 May 2014 10:06:58 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 6 ROBERTSON
held to be a rough description of certain aspects of the hypothesized judicial ideology. In a third and final stage a different question is asked. Can these 'substantive' patterns be seen as representing a more fundamental single difference that makes general theoretical sense of English judges' behaviour? By examining the voting patterns of two active and intellectually dominant Law Lords of the period it is argued that this may be the case
Research Problems, Solutions, and Some Working Assumptions
Why has no jurimetrics been done on the English House of Lords, when so much has been done on the Supreme Courts of the United States and Canada and on the High Court of Australia?18 Because it is very much harder, technically, to do such research in Britain. As mentioned above, one American political scientist has argued that jurimetrics simply cannot be applied in Britain.19 No other example is known to me. The most obvious problems relate to the structures and practice of our Higher Appellate Courts. Compared with the United States Supreme Court, the House of Lords (a) hears far fewer cases in a year (perhaps forty to fifty compared with well over a hundred); (b) decides far more of them unanimously (70-80 per cent in Britain, rarely even 50 per cent in the United States, according to Schubert's research); (c) has more judges but hears cases with less. (In the House, a bench of five Law Lords, drawn from eleven or twelve more or less at random, hears each case, while in the United States the norm is for all nine Justices to vote on each case.) The immediate result is the paucity of data. Because of these differences, Schubert could analyse each year's voting separately, and still have plenty of cases to determine the agreement for each pair of judges as well as having a large number of cases for both his 'political liberalism' and 'economic liberalism' dimensions. There is another difference of practice that raises for my research a problem Schubert did not have to face. On the United States Bench majority and dissenting judges usually group together, offering joint opinions, although there may be more than one opinion for both majority and minority. In Britain it is quite usual to issue five separate, and often radically different, opinions even when all the judges vote the same way! This involves the following very strong assumption: when two judges vote the same way in a case, they can be taken to be substantially in agreement in preferring that one side win the case rather than the other.20 Although this may not seem an
18 See Schubert and Danelski, eds, Comparative Judicial Behavior. 19 Morrison, Courts and the Political Process in England. Others have felt, however, that it was both possible and desirable. See, for example, Burton Atkin, 'Judicial Behaviour Approaches in America and Britain', paper presented to the Law and Politics panel, Conference of the Political Studies Association, Hull, April I981. 20 I am here ignoring the potentially important difference between giving a formal concurrence with another judge's reasoned opinion, and issuing one's own opinion. In the latter case two
held to be a rough description of certain aspects of the hypothesized judicial ideology. In a third and final stage a different question is asked. Can these 'substantive' patterns be seen as representing a more fundamental single difference that makes general theoretical sense of English judges' behaviour? By examining the voting patterns of two active and intellectually dominant Law Lords of the period it is argued that this may be the case
Research Problems, Solutions, and Some Working Assumptions
Why has no jurimetrics been done on the English House of Lords, when so much has been done on the Supreme Courts of the United States and Canada and on the High Court of Australia?18 Because it is very much harder, technically, to do such research in Britain. As mentioned above, one American political scientist has argued that jurimetrics simply cannot be applied in Britain.19 No other example is known to me. The most obvious problems relate to the structures and practice of our Higher Appellate Courts. Compared with the United States Supreme Court, the House of Lords (a) hears far fewer cases in a year (perhaps forty to fifty compared with well over a hundred); (b) decides far more of them unanimously (70-80 per cent in Britain, rarely even 50 per cent in the United States, according to Schubert's research); (c) has more judges but hears cases with less. (In the House, a bench of five Law Lords, drawn from eleven or twelve more or less at random, hears each case, while in the United States the norm is for all nine Justices to vote on each case.) The immediate result is the paucity of data. Because of these differences, Schubert could analyse each year's voting separately, and still have plenty of cases to determine the agreement for each pair of judges as well as having a large number of cases for both his 'political liberalism' and 'economic liberalism' dimensions. There is another difference of practice that raises for my research a problem Schubert did not have to face. On the United States Bench majority and dissenting judges usually group together, offering joint opinions, although there may be more than one opinion for both majority and minority. In Britain it is quite usual to issue five separate, and often radically different, opinions even when all the judges vote the same way! This involves the following very strong assumption: when two judges vote the same way in a case, they can be taken to be substantially in agreement in preferring that one side win the case rather than the other.20 Although this may not seem an
18 See Schubert and Danelski, eds, Comparative Judicial Behavior. 19 Morrison, Courts and the Political Process in England. Others have felt, however, that it was both possible and desirable. See, for example, Burton Atkin, 'Judicial Behaviour Approaches in America and Britain', paper presented to the Law and Politics panel, Conference of the Political Studies Association, Hull, April I981. 20 I am here ignoring the potentially important difference between giving a formal concurrence with another judge's reasoned opinion, and issuing one's own opinion. In the latter case two
held to be a rough description of certain aspects of the hypothesized judicial ideology. In a third and final stage a different question is asked. Can these 'substantive' patterns be seen as representing a more fundamental single difference that makes general theoretical sense of English judges' behaviour? By examining the voting patterns of two active and intellectually dominant Law Lords of the period it is argued that this may be the case
Research Problems, Solutions, and Some Working Assumptions
Why has no jurimetrics been done on the English House of Lords, when so much has been done on the Supreme Courts of the United States and Canada and on the High Court of Australia?18 Because it is very much harder, technically, to do such research in Britain. As mentioned above, one American political scientist has argued that jurimetrics simply cannot be applied in Britain.19 No other example is known to me. The most obvious problems relate to the structures and practice of our Higher Appellate Courts. Compared with the United States Supreme Court, the House of Lords (a) hears far fewer cases in a year (perhaps forty to fifty compared with well over a hundred); (b) decides far more of them unanimously (70-80 per cent in Britain, rarely even 50 per cent in the United States, according to Schubert's research); (c) has more judges but hears cases with less. (In the House, a bench of five Law Lords, drawn from eleven or twelve more or less at random, hears each case, while in the United States the norm is for all nine Justices to vote on each case.) The immediate result is the paucity of data. Because of these differences, Schubert could analyse each year's voting separately, and still have plenty of cases to determine the agreement for each pair of judges as well as having a large number of cases for both his 'political liberalism' and 'economic liberalism' dimensions. There is another difference of practice that raises for my research a problem Schubert did not have to face. On the United States Bench majority and dissenting judges usually group together, offering joint opinions, although there may be more than one opinion for both majority and minority. In Britain it is quite usual to issue five separate, and often radically different, opinions even when all the judges vote the same way! This involves the following very strong assumption: when two judges vote the same way in a case, they can be taken to be substantially in agreement in preferring that one side win the case rather than the other.20 Although this may not seem an
18 See Schubert and Danelski, eds, Comparative Judicial Behavior. 19 Morrison, Courts and the Political Process in England. Others have felt, however, that it was both possible and desirable. See, for example, Burton Atkin, 'Judicial Behaviour Approaches in America and Britain', paper presented to the Law and Politics panel, Conference of the Political Studies Association, Hull, April I981. 20 I am here ignoring the potentially important difference between giving a formal concurrence with another judge's reasoned opinion, and issuing one's own opinion. In the latter case two
This content downloaded from 194.29.185.42 on Fri, 9 May 2014 10:06:58 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Judicial Ideology Judicial in the House of Lords Ideology Judicial in the House of Lords Ideology in the House of Lords
over-demanding assumption, it could make certain conclusions false if drawn from data heavily characterized by a special sort of case. This is a case, quite frequent in English law, where one or more judges who think X ought to win in fact vote for Y because they feel bound by a precedent they dislike, and where some vote for Y feeling the precedent is itself desirable. Because the American court is much freer to overturn precedents than the House of Lords, Schubert and his associates have less need to justify this assumption. The justification is that we are not only interested in the inner meaning of a judge's decision. To a major extent the statement that judge X has a particular type of judicial ideology is an external judgement based on the consequence of his vote. For example, in the IT Case Lord Reid's decision was just as much a vote against individual freedom of expression, and had just as much effect on the freedom of press enjoyed by International Tribune as Lord Morris's, even though Reid felt the binding precedent to be wrong and had voted against it in the original case while Morris had supported the prosecution willingly on both occasions.21 There is a final difference between the American and the English experience that makes Schubert's kind of analysis much harder to perform on English data. It does not affect this article, because I take a totally different approach to the characterization (the 'coding') of decisions from Schubert's. The difference is that, because the United States has a written constitution and a Bill of Rights, the clauses and principles of which enter into real political conflict and political language, it is much easier to assert that case N is an example of category Z. For example, in the United States an obscene publications case will be fought expressly in terms of a constitutional 'positive law' prohibition on censorship in the first amendment. So for Schubert to 'code' a case as belonging to the 'political liberalism' category is fairly safe. Here a similar case will be fought in terms of varying interpretations of one or more statutes, using legal categories that may not translate at all into the language of political ideology. To claim that a case involving contractual infringement on freedom of trade fits into a category of economic conservatism would be much more subjective and difficult to defend than an equivalent in the United States. There it would probably arise under the Inter-State Commerce clause where decades of Congressional debate make clear what political lines are drawn up. An analyst must, in the end, impose his own categories. I have attempted to stick fairly close to legally existing categories, because I wish to interpret the resulting dimensions of judicial ideology as far as possible in terms of legal ideologies rather than, as with Schubert, asserting ideologies that have nothing directly to do with what judges may think they are doing. Yet again it
judges agreeing on how to dispose of a case may in fact have very different views. From my point of view this difference is irrelevant here, although it might have been preferable to take the distinction so as to record degrees of agreement. Unfortunately the available data are too sparse for this. 21 Knuller v. DPP (1973) A.C.435.
over-demanding assumption, it could make certain conclusions false if drawn from data heavily characterized by a special sort of case. This is a case, quite frequent in English law, where one or more judges who think X ought to win in fact vote for Y because they feel bound by a precedent they dislike, and where some vote for Y feeling the precedent is itself desirable. Because the American court is much freer to overturn precedents than the House of Lords, Schubert and his associates have less need to justify this assumption. The justification is that we are not only interested in the inner meaning of a judge's decision. To a major extent the statement that judge X has a particular type of judicial ideology is an external judgement based on the consequence of his vote. For example, in the IT Case Lord Reid's decision was just as much a vote against individual freedom of expression, and had just as much effect on the freedom of press enjoyed by International Tribune as Lord Morris's, even though Reid felt the binding precedent to be wrong and had voted against it in the original case while Morris had supported the prosecution willingly on both occasions.21 There is a final difference between the American and the English experience that makes Schubert's kind of analysis much harder to perform on English data. It does not affect this article, because I take a totally different approach to the characterization (the 'coding') of decisions from Schubert's. The difference is that, because the United States has a written constitution and a Bill of Rights, the clauses and principles of which enter into real political conflict and political language, it is much easier to assert that case N is an example of category Z. For example, in the United States an obscene publications case will be fought expressly in terms of a constitutional 'positive law' prohibition on censorship in the first amendment. So for Schubert to 'code' a case as belonging to the 'political liberalism' category is fairly safe. Here a similar case will be fought in terms of varying interpretations of one or more statutes, using legal categories that may not translate at all into the language of political ideology. To claim that a case involving contractual infringement on freedom of trade fits into a category of economic conservatism would be much more subjective and difficult to defend than an equivalent in the United States. There it would probably arise under the Inter-State Commerce clause where decades of Congressional debate make clear what political lines are drawn up. An analyst must, in the end, impose his own categories. I have attempted to stick fairly close to legally existing categories, because I wish to interpret the resulting dimensions of judicial ideology as far as possible in terms of legal ideologies rather than, as with Schubert, asserting ideologies that have nothing directly to do with what judges may think they are doing. Yet again it
judges agreeing on how to dispose of a case may in fact have very different views. From my point of view this difference is irrelevant here, although it might have been preferable to take the distinction so as to record degrees of agreement. Unfortunately the available data are too sparse for this. 21 Knuller v. DPP (1973) A.C.435.
over-demanding assumption, it could make certain conclusions false if drawn from data heavily characterized by a special sort of case. This is a case, quite frequent in English law, where one or more judges who think X ought to win in fact vote for Y because they feel bound by a precedent they dislike, and where some vote for Y feeling the precedent is itself desirable. Because the American court is much freer to overturn precedents than the House of Lords, Schubert and his associates have less need to justify this assumption. The justification is that we are not only interested in the inner meaning of a judge's decision. To a major extent the statement that judge X has a particular type of judicial ideology is an external judgement based on the consequence of his vote. For example, in the IT Case Lord Reid's decision was just as much a vote against individual freedom of expression, and had just as much effect on the freedom of press enjoyed by International Tribune as Lord Morris's, even though Reid felt the binding precedent to be wrong and had voted against it in the original case while Morris had supported the prosecution willingly on both occasions.21 There is a final difference between the American and the English experience that makes Schubert's kind of analysis much harder to perform on English data. It does not affect this article, because I take a totally different approach to the characterization (the 'coding') of decisions from Schubert's. The difference is that, because the United States has a written constitution and a Bill of Rights, the clauses and principles of which enter into real political conflict and political language, it is much easier to assert that case N is an example of category Z. For example, in the United States an obscene publications case will be fought expressly in terms of a constitutional 'positive law' prohibition on censorship in the first amendment. So for Schubert to 'code' a case as belonging to the 'political liberalism' category is fairly safe. Here a similar case will be fought in terms of varying interpretations of one or more statutes, using legal categories that may not translate at all into the language of political ideology. To claim that a case involving contractual infringement on freedom of trade fits into a category of economic conservatism would be much more subjective and difficult to defend than an equivalent in the United States. There it would probably arise under the Inter-State Commerce clause where decades of Congressional debate make clear what political lines are drawn up. An analyst must, in the end, impose his own categories. I have attempted to stick fairly close to legally existing categories, because I wish to interpret the resulting dimensions of judicial ideology as far as possible in terms of legal ideologies rather than, as with Schubert, asserting ideologies that have nothing directly to do with what judges may think they are doing. Yet again it
judges agreeing on how to dispose of a case may in fact have very different views. From my point of view this difference is irrelevant here, although it might have been preferable to take the distinction so as to record degrees of agreement. Unfortunately the available data are too sparse for this. 21 Knuller v. DPP (1973) A.C.435.
7
This content downloaded from 194.29.185.42 on Fri, 9 May 2014 10:06:58 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Unanimous and Split Cases Heard by Members of the House of Lords Appellate Committee, I948-76 Unanimous and Split Cases Heard by Members of the House of Lords Appellate Committee, I948-76 Unanimous and Split Cases Heard by Members of the House of Lords Appellate Committee, I948-76
Dates of No. of cases heard by this Name membership judge in the data set Unanimous Split
For both 'courts' Reid I948-75 Io8 56 Morris 1960-75 102 44 Diplock I968-77 92 37 Dilhorne* 1969-77 I 2 31 Wilberforce 1964-77 92 50
Plus, for 'early court' Hodson I960-71 60 28 Guest 1961-71 51 32 Pearce I962-69 38 20 Donovan 1963-71 24 14 Upjohn I963-71 42 25 Pearson 1965-73 62 26
Plus, for 'late court' Simon 1971-77 50 29 Kilbrandon I971-77 40 20 Salmon 1972-77 80 20 Edmund-Davies 1974-77 39 27 Russell 1974-77 43 I6 Cross 1971-76 48 17
Dates of No. of cases heard by this Name membership judge in the data set Unanimous Split
For both 'courts' Reid I948-75 Io8 56 Morris 1960-75 102 44 Diplock I968-77 92 37 Dilhorne* 1969-77 I 2 31 Wilberforce 1964-77 92 50
Plus, for 'early court' Hodson I960-71 60 28 Guest 1961-71 51 32 Pearce I962-69 38 20 Donovan 1963-71 24 14 Upjohn I963-71 42 25 Pearson 1965-73 62 26
Plus, for 'late court' Simon 1971-77 50 29 Kilbrandon I971-77 40 20 Salmon 1972-77 80 20 Edmund-Davies 1974-77 39 27 Russell 1974-77 43 I6 Cross 1971-76 48 17
Dates of No. of cases heard by this Name membership judge in the data set Unanimous Split
For both 'courts' Reid I948-75 Io8 56 Morris 1960-75 102 44 Diplock I968-77 92 37 Dilhorne* 1969-77 I 2 31 Wilberforce 1964-77 92 50
Plus, for 'early court' Hodson I960-71 60 28 Guest 1961-71 51 32 Pearce I962-69 38 20 Donovan 1963-71 24 14 Upjohn I963-71 42 25 Pearson 1965-73 62 26
Plus, for 'late court' Simon 1971-77 50 29 Kilbrandon I971-77 40 20 Salmon 1972-77 80 20 Edmund-Davies 1974-77 39 27 Russell 1974-77 43 I6 Cross 1971-76 48 17
- Some cases earlier than I969 before 1964.
- Some cases earlier than I969 before 1964.
- Some cases earlier than I969 before 1964. are included; included; included; he presided presided presided occasionally occasionally occasionally as Lord Chancellor Chancellor Chancellor
does impose a positivistic assumption, that externally given categories suitably represent realities of judicial thinking even when they are not the categories of actual legal practice.
Results: Similarities Between Judges
Because a Law Lord's membership of the House overlaps with others arriving and retiring at different dates, we cannot treat the seventeen Law Lords who held office during I965-78 as forming one court. Instead they have been treated as falling into three groups, an early, late, and continuing section. Those five who were present for most of the period, Lords Reid, Morris, Diplock, Dilhorne and Wilberforce, are analysed twice, once when put with the early court, and once when put with the late court. So in carrying out the data analysis as described above, I normally report two results. The membership of the two 'courts' thus studied, with dates of membership and the number of cases used in the main part of the analysis, is given in Table I. The first step is to form 'similarity' matrices for each of these courts. These
does impose a positivistic assumption, that externally given categories suitably represent realities of judicial thinking even when they are not the categories of actual legal practice.
Results: Similarities Between Judges
Because a Law Lord's membership of the House overlaps with others arriving and retiring at different dates, we cannot treat the seventeen Law Lords who held office during I965-78 as forming one court. Instead they have been treated as falling into three groups, an early, late, and continuing section. Those five who were present for most of the period, Lords Reid, Morris, Diplock, Dilhorne and Wilberforce, are analysed twice, once when put with the early court, and once when put with the late court. So in carrying out the data analysis as described above, I normally report two results. The membership of the two 'courts' thus studied, with dates of membership and the number of cases used in the main part of the analysis, is given in Table I. The first step is to form 'similarity' matrices for each of these courts. These
does impose a positivistic assumption, that externally given categories suitably represent realities of judicial thinking even when they are not the categories of actual legal practice.
Results: Similarities Between Judges
Because a Law Lord's membership of the House overlaps with others arriving and retiring at different dates, we cannot treat the seventeen Law Lords who held office during I965-78 as forming one court. Instead they have been treated as falling into three groups, an early, late, and continuing section. Those five who were present for most of the period, Lords Reid, Morris, Diplock, Dilhorne and Wilberforce, are analysed twice, once when put with the early court, and once when put with the late court. So in carrying out the data analysis as described above, I normally report two results. The membership of the two 'courts' thus studied, with dates of membership and the number of cases used in the main part of the analysis, is given in Table I. The first step is to form 'similarity' matrices for each of these courts. These
8 ROBERTSON
TABLE I
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TABLE 2 Similarity Matrix for First Set of Law Lords
oDo C - o
Morris 0-82 Diplock 0-70 0o77 Dilhorne 0o85 0o87 0o85 Wilberforce 0-76 0-77 0-70 0o88 Hodson 0-86 0o86 0o83 0-74 0-75 Guest 0-73 0-82 0o63 0-82 0-72 0o84 Pearce 0o83 0-73 0-74 0-76 0o99 0o83 o-80 Donovan 0o83 0-91 0-73 o-8I 0-75 o-8I 0o69 o-60 Upjohn 0-88 0-78 o071 o080 0-78 0o86 0o82 0o85 0o67 Pearson 0o82 0-92 0-70 0o84 0o88 0-90 0-78 0-73 0o85 0-77
Note: The cell entries are agreement scores. That is, they are the proportion of cases each pair of judges heard together which they voted to resolve in the same way. The average level of agreement is high because 70 per cent of the cases involved were decided unanimously.
are given in Tables 2 and 3. An entry represents the amount of agreement. Thus, the entry in Table 2 for Lords Pearson and Morris at 0-92 represents a very high tendency to vote together, whilst that of o060 for Lords Pearce and Donovan shows an unusual dissensus. The average figure is very high at 0-75 because 70 per cent of the cases studied were decided unanimously.
TABLE 3 Similarity Matrix for Second Set of Law Lords
o C
2 a A, -? - E:
Morris 0-82 Diplock 0-70 0o77 Dilhorne o-85 0-87 o-85 Wilberforce 0-76 0-77 0-70 o088 Simon 0o83 0o82 0o87 0go90 067 Kilbrandon 0o87 o-8o o091 0-79 0-77 0-82 Salmon 0-74 o-8o 0-78 o086 0-76 0-73 0-92 EdmundDavies o060 0-73 o085 0-75 0o63 0-78 o082 0-70 Russell 0-62 0-77 0-89 0-71 0-73 o-8o 0-78 0-84 o-86 Cross o-6i 0-73 o088 0o84 o-8i 0o67 0-75 o088 0o64 0-76
Note: see footnote to Table 2.
TABLE 2 Similarity Matrix for First Set of Law Lords
oDo C - o
Morris 0-82 Diplock 0-70 0o77 Dilhorne 0o85 0o87 0o85 Wilberforce 0-76 0-77 0-70 0o88 Hodson 0-86 0o86 0o83 0-74 0-75 Guest 0-73 0-82 0o63 0-82 0-72 0o84 Pearce 0o83 0-73 0-74 0-76 0o99 0o83 o-80 Donovan 0o83 0-91 0-73 o-8I 0-75 o-8I 0o69 o-60 Upjohn 0-88 0-78 o071 o080 0-78 0o86 0o82 0o85 0o67 Pearson 0o82 0-92 0-70 0o84 0o88 0-90 0-78 0-73 0o85 0-77
Note: The cell entries are agreement scores. That is, they are the proportion of cases each pair of judges heard together which they voted to resolve in the same way. The average level of agreement is high because 70 per cent of the cases involved were decided unanimously.
are given in Tables 2 and 3. An entry represents the amount of agreement. Thus, the entry in Table 2 for Lords Pearson and Morris at 0-92 represents a very high tendency to vote together, whilst that of o060 for Lords Pearce and Donovan shows an unusual dissensus. The average figure is very high at 0-75 because 70 per cent of the cases studied were decided unanimously.
TABLE 3 Similarity Matrix for Second Set of Law Lords
o C
2 a A, -? - E:
Morris 0-82 Diplock 0-70 0o77 Dilhorne o-85 0-87 o-85 Wilberforce 0-76 0-77 0-70 o088 Simon 0o83 0o82 0o87 0go90 067 Kilbrandon 0o87 o-8o o091 0-79 0-77 0-82 Salmon 0-74 o-8o 0-78 o086 0-76 0-73 0-92 EdmundDavies o060 0-73 o085 0-75 0o63 0-78 o082 0-70 Russell 0-62 0-77 0-89 0-71 0-73 o-8o 0-78 0-84 o-86 Cross o-6i 0-73 o088 0o84 o-8i 0o67 0-75 o088 0o64 0-76
Note: see footnote to Table 2.
TABLE 2 Similarity Matrix for First Set of Law Lords
oDo C - o
Morris 0-82 Diplock 0-70 0o77 Dilhorne 0o85 0o87 0o85 Wilberforce 0-76 0-77 0-70 0o88 Hodson 0-86 0o86 0o83 0-74 0-75 Guest 0-73 0-82 0o63 0-82 0-72 0o84 Pearce 0o83 0-73 0-74 0-76 0o99 0o83 o-80 Donovan 0o83 0-91 0-73 o-8I 0-75 o-8I 0o69 o-60 Upjohn 0-88 0-78 o071 o080 0-78 0o86 0o82 0o85 0o67 Pearson 0o82 0-92 0-70 0o84 0o88 0-90 0-78 0-73 0o85 0-77
Note: The cell entries are agreement scores. That is, they are the proportion of cases each pair of judges heard together which they voted to resolve in the same way. The average level of agreement is high because 70 per cent of the cases involved were decided unanimously.
are given in Tables 2 and 3. An entry represents the amount of agreement. Thus, the entry in Table 2 for Lords Pearson and Morris at 0-92 represents a very high tendency to vote together, whilst that of o060 for Lords Pearce and Donovan shows an unusual dissensus. The average figure is very high at 0-75 because 70 per cent of the cases studied were decided unanimously.
TABLE 3 Similarity Matrix for Second Set of Law Lords
o C
2 a A, -? - E:
Morris 0-82 Diplock 0-70 0o77 Dilhorne o-85 0-87 o-85 Wilberforce 0-76 0-77 0-70 o088 Simon 0o83 0o82 0o87 0go90 067 Kilbrandon 0o87 o-8o o091 0-79 0-77 0-82 Salmon 0-74 o-8o 0-78 o086 0-76 0-73 0-92 EdmundDavies o060 0-73 o085 0-75 0o63 0-78 o082 0-70 Russell 0-62 0-77 0-89 0-71 0-73 o-8o 0-78 0-84 o-86 Cross o-6i 0-73 o088 0o84 o-8i 0o67 0-75 o088 0o64 0-76
Note: see footnote to Table 2.
9
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Little can be obtained directly from these tables, although they may be used to test various hypotheses. One hypothesis worth testing, if only to reject it, is the effect of previous political affiliations on judicial relationships. Although the old tendency for senior judges to have had political careers is almost over, several of the men studied here have either been MPs or stood as parliamentary candidates when they were barristers. Lord Donovan was once a Labour MP, Lord Dilhorne (as Manningham-Buller) was a Conservative Attorney-General and Lord Chancellor, Lords Guest and Wilberforce were Conservative candidates, and Lord Reid a Scottish Unionist MP and Lord Advocate. The obvious test is to consider the average 'distance' or similarity between one Labour MP, Lord Donovan, and both the known Conservative group and those not known to be Conservative. These latter are Lords Pearce, Upjohn, Diplock and Morris (who is an ex-Liberal candidate). If this is a fair test of the relevance of past party affiliation, then partisanship is shown to be irrelevant. The average distance between Donovan and the two groups is not significantly different. Indeed, his average agreement with the known Conservatives, 0-74, is slightly greater that that with the non-political group, at 0-72. The agreement between Donovan and Dilhorne, presumably the pair most likely to be affected by their past roles, is, at o08i, above average for the whole table. It might be remembered, should this result seem unimportant, that such a result would most certainly not arise from a similar table on American judges.22 The real use of these agreement/similarity matrices is to decompose them, using multi-dimensional analysis. This technique, extensively used in cognitive sociology and psychology, is able to represent a complicated pattern of such similarity measures in a much simpler way, using the minimum necessary set of scales or dimensions, without doing serious damage to the original relationships.23 It is akin to the more familiar factor analysis in assuming that a set of correlations between variables or people is explained by the several data 'representing' or 'measuring' an underlying set of basic factors. In order to discover such 'explainable' judicial affinities, both similarity matrices were submitted to an MDSCAL analysis.24 The results, in terms of positions on each of three necessary 'underlying' dimensions, are given in Tables 4 and 5. These solutions are not technically very good, because the stress coefficients (which give a measure of how much the original relationships have had to be altered in order to be displayed in a small set of dimensions) are rather high. However, no serious problem arises because the configurations are only
22 But not all appointments to the Supreme Court have always worked like this. Eisenhower's disappointment with the Republican, Earl Warren, is a notable case in point. However, most studies of the judiciary at the state level show a fairly strong connection between judicial voting and partisanship. 23 See, for example, Coombs, A Theory of Data. 24 The programme used was MINISSA in a package of programmes devised by A. P. M. Coxon, University College, Cardiff.
Little can be obtained directly from these tables, although they may be used to test various hypotheses. One hypothesis worth testing, if only to reject it, is the effect of previous political affiliations on judicial relationships. Although the old tendency for senior judges to have had political careers is almost over, several of the men studied here have either been MPs or stood as parliamentary candidates when they were barristers. Lord Donovan was once a Labour MP, Lord Dilhorne (as Manningham-Buller) was a Conservative Attorney-General and Lord Chancellor, Lords Guest and Wilberforce were Conservative candidates, and Lord Reid a Scottish Unionist MP and Lord Advocate. The obvious test is to consider the average 'distance' or similarity between one Labour MP, Lord Donovan, and both the known Conservative group and those not known to be Conservative. These latter are Lords Pearce, Upjohn, Diplock and Morris (who is an ex-Liberal candidate). If this is a fair test of the relevance of past party affiliation, then partisanship is shown to be irrelevant. The average distance between Donovan and the two groups is not significantly different. Indeed, his average agreement with the known Conservatives, 0-74, is slightly greater that that with the non-political group, at 0-72. The agreement between Donovan and Dilhorne, presumably the pair most likely to be affected by their past roles, is, at o08i, above average for the whole table. It might be remembered, should this result seem unimportant, that such a result would most certainly not arise from a similar table on American judges.22 The real use of these agreement/similarity matrices is to decompose them, using multi-dimensional analysis. This technique, extensively used in cognitive sociology and psychology, is able to represent a complicated pattern of such similarity measures in a much simpler way, using the minimum necessary set of scales or dimensions, without doing serious damage to the original relationships.23 It is akin to the more familiar factor analysis in assuming that a set of correlations between variables or people is explained by the several data 'representing' or 'measuring' an underlying set of basic factors. In order to discover such 'explainable' judicial affinities, both similarity matrices were submitted to an MDSCAL analysis.24 The results, in terms of positions on each of three necessary 'underlying' dimensions, are given in Tables 4 and 5. These solutions are not technically very good, because the stress coefficients (which give a measure of how much the original relationships have had to be altered in order to be displayed in a small set of dimensions) are rather high. However, no serious problem arises because the configurations are only
22 But not all appointments to the Supreme Court have always worked like this. Eisenhower's disappointment with the Republican, Earl Warren, is a notable case in point. However, most studies of the judiciary at the state level show a fairly strong connection between judicial voting and partisanship. 23 See, for example, Coombs, A Theory of Data. 24 The programme used was MINISSA in a package of programmes devised by A. P. M. Coxon, University College, Cardiff.
Little can be obtained directly from these tables, although they may be used to test various hypotheses. One hypothesis worth testing, if only to reject it, is the effect of previous political affiliations on judicial relationships. Although the old tendency for senior judges to have had political careers is almost over, several of the men studied here have either been MPs or stood as parliamentary candidates when they were barristers. Lord Donovan was once a Labour MP, Lord Dilhorne (as Manningham-Buller) was a Conservative Attorney-General and Lord Chancellor, Lords Guest and Wilberforce were Conservative candidates, and Lord Reid a Scottish Unionist MP and Lord Advocate. The obvious test is to consider the average 'distance' or similarity between one Labour MP, Lord Donovan, and both the known Conservative group and those not known to be Conservative. These latter are Lords Pearce, Upjohn, Diplock and Morris (who is an ex-Liberal candidate). If this is a fair test of the relevance of past party affiliation, then partisanship is shown to be irrelevant. The average distance between Donovan and the two groups is not significantly different. Indeed, his average agreement with the known Conservatives, 0-74, is slightly greater that that with the non-political group, at 0-72. The agreement between Donovan and Dilhorne, presumably the pair most likely to be affected by their past roles, is, at o08i, above average for the whole table. It might be remembered, should this result seem unimportant, that such a result would most certainly not arise from a similar table on American judges.22 The real use of these agreement/similarity matrices is to decompose them, using multi-dimensional analysis. This technique, extensively used in cognitive sociology and psychology, is able to represent a complicated pattern of such similarity measures in a much simpler way, using the minimum necessary set of scales or dimensions, without doing serious damage to the original relationships.23 It is akin to the more familiar factor analysis in assuming that a set of correlations between variables or people is explained by the several data 'representing' or 'measuring' an underlying set of basic factors. In order to discover such 'explainable' judicial affinities, both similarity matrices were submitted to an MDSCAL analysis.24 The results, in terms of positions on each of three necessary 'underlying' dimensions, are given in Tables 4 and 5. These solutions are not technically very good, because the stress coefficients (which give a measure of how much the original relationships have had to be altered in order to be displayed in a small set of dimensions) are rather high. However, no serious problem arises because the configurations are only
22 But not all appointments to the Supreme Court have always worked like this. Eisenhower's disappointment with the Republican, Earl Warren, is a notable case in point. However, most studies of the judiciary at the state level show a fairly strong connection between judicial voting and partisanship. 23 See, for example, Coombs, A Theory of Data. 24 The programme used was MINISSA in a package of programmes devised by A. P. M. Coxon, University College, Cardiff.
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TABLE 4 MDSC Lords
Lord
Solution in Three Dimensions Solution in Three Dimensions for First Set of Law Solution in Three Dimensions for First Set of Law for First Set of Law
Final configuration co-ordinates Ist Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension Final configuration co-ordinates Ist Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension Final configuration co-ordinates Ist Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Reid -0-223 -0o864 -0o083 Morris 0-586 0-078 0o473 Diplock 0o064 I 378 o I63 Dilhorne 0-248 0o604 -0o233 Wilberforce ogg99 0-037 -0o984 Hodson -01 38 -0-269 0-429 Guest -0o645 0.022 I1042 Pearce -0-922 0-205 -0o603 Donovan 1-231 -0o395 0-097 Upjohn -0o892 -0-42I -0-056 Pearson o059I -0o347 -0o247
Note: This solution, which has the rather high stress value of I-405, is not intended to be taken as a very definite configuration. It is, however, a useful crude dimensional 'map' of how the judges fit together. The analysis was carried out by the Edinburgh version of the programme MINISSA, originally writen by Roskam and Lingoes.
TABLE 5 MDSC Solution in Three Dimensions for Second Set of Law Lords
Reid -0-223 -0o864 -0o083 Morris 0-586 0-078 0o473 Diplock 0o064 I 378 o I63 Dilhorne 0-248 0o604 -0o233 Wilberforce ogg99 0-037 -0o984 Hodson -01 38 -0-269 0-429 Guest -0o645 0.022 I1042 Pearce -0-922 0-205 -0o603 Donovan 1-231 -0o395 0-097 Upjohn -0o892 -0-42I -0-056 Pearson o059I -0o347 -0o247
Note: This solution, which has the rather high stress value of I-405, is not intended to be taken as a very definite configuration. It is, however, a useful crude dimensional 'map' of how the judges fit together. The analysis was carried out by the Edinburgh version of the programme MINISSA, originally writen by Roskam and Lingoes.
TABLE 5 MDSC Solution in Three Dimensions for Second Set of Law Lords
Reid -0-223 -0o864 -0o083 Morris 0-586 0-078 0o473 Diplock 0o064 I 378 o I63 Dilhorne 0-248 0o604 -0o233 Wilberforce ogg99 0-037 -0o984 Hodson -01 38 -0-269 0-429 Guest -0o645 0.022 I1042 Pearce -0-922 0-205 -0o603 Donovan 1-231 -0o395 0-097 Upjohn -0o892 -0-42I -0-056 Pearson o059I -0o347 -0o247
Note: This solution, which has the rather high stress value of I-405, is not intended to be taken as a very definite configuration. It is, however, a useful crude dimensional 'map' of how the judges fit together. The analysis was carried out by the Edinburgh version of the programme MINISSA, originally writen by Roskam and Lingoes.
TABLE 5 MDSC Solution in Three Dimensions for Second Set of Law Lords
Final configuration co-ordinates Lord ISt Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Reid - Io60 -0-784 -0-358 Morris -0-234 -0-2I8 0-78I Diplock o-618 0-I57 -01 76 Dilhorne -0'575 -o0i51 0-216 Wilberforce -0-972 0'535 0-270 Simon 0-117 -0-94I 0. II Kilbrandon 0-015 -0o064 -0o632 Salmon -o-182 0o670 -0-480 Edmund-Davies 1-22I -o-608 -0-14I Russell o088i 0-264 o0435 Cross 0-172 1-141 -o-oi6
Note: See note to Table 4; the stress coefficient for this configuration is also high at 1-012.
intended as a rough representation of the judicial groupings underlying the original data. The high stress coefficients indicate that more than three dimensions are required to account fully for the original agreement scores. But it is hardly surprising that many extra dimensions must exist to explain so complex a phenomenon as the rate at which such skilled and trained legal practitioners agree with each other. Some, at least, of these dimensions will be inexplicable, picking up the subtlest gradations of highly personal judicial
Final configuration co-ordinates Lord ISt Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Reid - Io60 -0-784 -0-358 Morris -0-234 -0-2I8 0-78I Diplock o-618 0-I57 -01 76 Dilhorne -0'575 -o0i51 0-216 Wilberforce -0-972 0'535 0-270 Simon 0-117 -0-94I 0. II Kilbrandon 0-015 -0o064 -0o632 Salmon -o-182 0o670 -0-480 Edmund-Davies 1-22I -o-608 -0-14I Russell o088i 0-264 o0435 Cross 0-172 1-141 -o-oi6
Note: See note to Table 4; the stress coefficient for this configuration is also high at 1-012.
intended as a rough representation of the judicial groupings underlying the original data. The high stress coefficients indicate that more than three dimensions are required to account fully for the original agreement scores. But it is hardly surprising that many extra dimensions must exist to explain so complex a phenomenon as the rate at which such skilled and trained legal practitioners agree with each other. Some, at least, of these dimensions will be inexplicable, picking up the subtlest gradations of highly personal judicial
Final configuration co-ordinates Lord ISt Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Reid - Io60 -0-784 -0-358 Morris -0-234 -0-2I8 0-78I Diplock o-618 0-I57 -01 76 Dilhorne -0'575 -o0i51 0-216 Wilberforce -0-972 0'535 0-270 Simon 0-117 -0-94I 0. II Kilbrandon 0-015 -0o064 -0o632 Salmon -o-182 0o670 -0-480 Edmund-Davies 1-22I -o-608 -0-14I Russell o088i 0-264 o0435 Cross 0-172 1-141 -o-oi6
Note: See note to Table 4; the stress coefficient for this configuration is also high at 1-012.
intended as a rough representation of the judicial groupings underlying the original data. The high stress coefficients indicate that more than three dimensions are required to account fully for the original agreement scores. But it is hardly surprising that many extra dimensions must exist to explain so complex a phenomenon as the rate at which such skilled and trained legal practitioners agree with each other. Some, at least, of these dimensions will be inexplicable, picking up the subtlest gradations of highly personal judicial
II
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reaction to the facts and law of cases. Our intention here is not to give a putative total 'explanation' of judicial decision making, which would be to take positivism to an arrogant extreme. It is rather to see whether one can identify and characterize just some of these aspects. It is sufficient to say that the agreements between judges can be displayed, very crudely, as concerning some two or three dimensions, and to try to identify these. The results in Tables 4 and 5 do suggest more clearly than the original similarity matrices some of the contrasts between Law Lords that could be explained in terms of a judicial ideology. A sharp contrast exists between Lords Reid and Diplock, who are at opposite ends of the second, as yet unidentified, dimension. Lords Pearce and Guest have something in common (they are close on both dimensions) which makes them opposed to Lords Pearson and Donovan. Whatever this 'something' is, it operates in a different field from whatever it is that separates Reid and Diplock. This latter distance is on the first, not the second, dimension. What are these differences? The interpretation of a multi-dimensional scaling analysis is not a statistical and objective exercise, although statistical measures can help. It is a substantive judgement, a fitting of substantively meaningful patterns to an objective and numerically derived pattern. Essentially one forms hypotheses about what might underlie the observed patterns, and one tests them. An example that might appeal to exponents of the 'orthodox' model is that differences in judicial experience or training are the real 'causes' of such spatial configurations. But in fact comparing judges from Scottish, Common Law or Chancery backgrounds throws no light on the three-dimensional array here. Of course further dimensions, if extracted, might well show up such a 'training' pattern.25
INTERPRETING THE DIMENSIONS
The explanations we are seeking are couched in terms of a 'judicial' ideology
- reflexive positions on issues of a politico-legal nature - echoing or leading to a (perhaps only marginal) preference for supporting a particular type of cause or litigant. There are many such potential candidates, as many as there are issues. We pick two major ones, because they have been much discussed both in academic and popular circles. Both can be characterized in the language of politics as exemplifying degrees of 'conservatism' and, more academically, both relate to the power and nature of the state in modern liberal democracies. The first, more obvious candidate, is that of attitudes to criminal law. It is a matter of speculation at all levels of the press whether Mr Justice X is harder or tougher on criminals than Mr Justice Y. Whilst this might be studied
25 For example, judges promoted from Queen's Bench Division, with considerable experience as criminal trial judges, might see due process differently from those who have a different legal experience. Judges from the Family Division could well behave in a systematically different way on adoption from those whose experience of family legal problems is restricted to interpreting wills and trusts.
reaction to the facts and law of cases. Our intention here is not to give a putative total 'explanation' of judicial decision making, which would be to take positivism to an arrogant extreme. It is rather to see whether one can identify and characterize just some of these aspects. It is sufficient to say that the agreements between judges can be displayed, very crudely, as concerning some two or three dimensions, and to try to identify these. The results in Tables 4 and 5 do suggest more clearly than the original similarity matrices some of the contrasts between Law Lords that could be explained in terms of a judicial ideology. A sharp contrast exists between Lords Reid and Diplock, who are at opposite ends of the second, as yet unidentified, dimension. Lords Pearce and Guest have something in common (they are close on both dimensions) which makes them opposed to Lords Pearson and Donovan. Whatever this 'something' is, it operates in a different field from whatever it is that separates Reid and Diplock. This latter distance is on the first, not the second, dimension. What are these differences? The interpretation of a multi-dimensional scaling analysis is not a statistical and objective exercise, although statistical measures can help. It is a substantive judgement, a fitting of substantively meaningful patterns to an objective and numerically derived pattern. Essentially one forms hypotheses about what might underlie the observed patterns, and one tests them. An example that might appeal to exponents of the 'orthodox' model is that differences in judicial experience or training are the real 'causes' of such spatial configurations. But in fact comparing judges from Scottish, Common Law or Chancery backgrounds throws no light on the three-dimensional array here. Of course further dimensions, if extracted, might well show up such a 'training' pattern.25
INTERPRETING THE DIMENSIONS
The explanations we are seeking are couched in terms of a 'judicial' ideology
- reflexive positions on issues of a politico-legal nature - echoing or leading to a (perhaps only marginal) preference for supporting a particular type of cause or litigant. There are many such potential candidates, as many as there are issues. We pick two major ones, because they have been much discussed both in academic and popular circles. Both can be characterized in the language of politics as exemplifying degrees of 'conservatism' and, more academically, both relate to the power and nature of the state in modern liberal democracies. The first, more obvious candidate, is that of attitudes to criminal law. It is a matter of speculation at all levels of the press whether Mr Justice X is harder or tougher on criminals than Mr Justice Y. Whilst this might be studied
25 For example, judges promoted from Queen's Bench Division, with considerable experience as criminal trial judges, might see due process differently from those who have a different legal experience. Judges from the Family Division could well behave in a systematically different way on adoption from those whose experience of family legal problems is restricted to interpreting wills and trusts.
reaction to the facts and law of cases. Our intention here is not to give a putative total 'explanation' of judicial decision making, which would be to take positivism to an arrogant extreme. It is rather to see whether one can identify and characterize just some of these aspects. It is sufficient to say that the agreements between judges can be displayed, very crudely, as concerning some two or three dimensions, and to try to identify these. The results in Tables 4 and 5 do suggest more clearly than the original similarity matrices some of the contrasts between Law Lords that could be explained in terms of a judicial ideology. A sharp contrast exists between Lords Reid and Diplock, who are at opposite ends of the second, as yet unidentified, dimension. Lords Pearce and Guest have something in common (they are close on both dimensions) which makes them opposed to Lords Pearson and Donovan. Whatever this 'something' is, it operates in a different field from whatever it is that separates Reid and Diplock. This latter distance is on the first, not the second, dimension. What are these differences? The interpretation of a multi-dimensional scaling analysis is not a statistical and objective exercise, although statistical measures can help. It is a substantive judgement, a fitting of substantively meaningful patterns to an objective and numerically derived pattern. Essentially one forms hypotheses about what might underlie the observed patterns, and one tests them. An example that might appeal to exponents of the 'orthodox' model is that differences in judicial experience or training are the real 'causes' of such spatial configurations. But in fact comparing judges from Scottish, Common Law or Chancery backgrounds throws no light on the three-dimensional array here. Of course further dimensions, if extracted, might well show up such a 'training' pattern.25
INTERPRETING THE DIMENSIONS
The explanations we are seeking are couched in terms of a 'judicial' ideology
- reflexive positions on issues of a politico-legal nature - echoing or leading to a (perhaps only marginal) preference for supporting a particular type of cause or litigant. There are many such potential candidates, as many as there are issues. We pick two major ones, because they have been much discussed both in academic and popular circles. Both can be characterized in the language of politics as exemplifying degrees of 'conservatism' and, more academically, both relate to the power and nature of the state in modern liberal democracies. The first, more obvious candidate, is that of attitudes to criminal law. It is a matter of speculation at all levels of the press whether Mr Justice X is harder or tougher on criminals than Mr Justice Y. Whilst this might be studied
25 For example, judges promoted from Queen's Bench Division, with considerable experience as criminal trial judges, might see due process differently from those who have a different legal experience. Judges from the Family Division could well behave in a systematically different way on adoption from those whose experience of family legal problems is restricted to interpreting wills and trusts.
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at the level of the criminal courts of first instance, there are good reasons for taking it more seriously as a question about appeal judges. When asked about trial judges, who do not decide guilt, it is a question about sentencing practice, and probably reflects psychological differences, or differences about theories of criminal deterrence. Asked of Law Lords, it is a question about legal beliefs, for the issues in criminal appeals to the Lords are, for example, about the acceptability of evidence. They are about whether an alleged crime is, in fact, forbidden by the law; the fairness of summings up; police investigatory behaviour; or definitions in statutes, all informed by, and relevant to, the general area of criminal civil liberties. To be a hard-line 'pro-prosecution' judge in the House of Lords is to take a robust attitude to claims that it would be unfair actually to punish someone whom a jury had convicted of doing what the police said he did. This is clearly a political, but also a legal, attitude, and it is one that can fairly be judged 'conservative' in one of the many senses of that word.26 A second dimension worth investigating relates to the non-criminal coercion of the state. I call this, for want of a better phrase, the 'public law' aspect. By public law I include all non-criminal cases where one of the litigants is the state in some form or other, and the other is an individual (although he may be an artificial individual, as in the legal sense, a corporation, local government, trade union or Church). I exclude all 'revenue' cases of whatever form from this category, for they raise special problems. So we may be talking about the right of a Town Council to withdraw a market trader's licence because he was seen urinating against a wall,27 about a habeas corpus plea by an alleged fugitive from a foreign government sentenced to deportation,28 about an industry claiming the right to a subsidy the Ministry of Technology does not want to grant,29 or about the owner of a Caravan Park refused planning permission.30 Of course this is a broad category, imposed on what professional lawyers would see as separate areas of the law. But any decision in favour of the state means supporting the central coercive power against a weaker individual attempting to assert a right, privilege, or immunity. Like the criminal law category discussed earlier, it is immediately cashable into a dimension of real politics, is expressable in ordinary and academic political language, and represents a version of conservatism. That the 'conservatism' inherent in supporting the state in criminal prosecutions does not necessarily go with 26 I have no desire to apply contentious labels. Whatever the philosophy of conservatism says, however, hard line 'law and order' attitudes are associated with the politico-psychological syndrome of conservatism. See Hans J. Eysenck, The Psychology of Politics (London: Routledge, 1954). 27 This particular case actually never got beyond the Queen's Bench Division, but there are many roughly similar cases. Take, for example, the long line of cases dealing with the regulation of Bingo Halls, which raise similar problems of natural justice. 28 Armah v. Government of Ghana (1968) A.C.192. 29 British Oxygen Ltd. v. Minister of Technology (1971), A.C.6io. 30 Chertsey UDC v. Mixnam's Properties (I965) A.C.735.
at the level of the criminal courts of first instance, there are good reasons for taking it more seriously as a question about appeal judges. When asked about trial judges, who do not decide guilt, it is a question about sentencing practice, and probably reflects psychological differences, or differences about theories of criminal deterrence. Asked of Law Lords, it is a question about legal beliefs, for the issues in criminal appeals to the Lords are, for example, about the acceptability of evidence. They are about whether an alleged crime is, in fact, forbidden by the law; the fairness of summings up; police investigatory behaviour; or definitions in statutes, all informed by, and relevant to, the general area of criminal civil liberties. To be a hard-line 'pro-prosecution' judge in the House of Lords is to take a robust attitude to claims that it would be unfair actually to punish someone whom a jury had convicted of doing what the police said he did. This is clearly a political, but also a legal, attitude, and it is one that can fairly be judged 'conservative' in one of the many senses of that word.26 A second dimension worth investigating relates to the non-criminal coercion of the state. I call this, for want of a better phrase, the 'public law' aspect. By public law I include all non-criminal cases where one of the litigants is the state in some form or other, and the other is an individual (although he may be an artificial individual, as in the legal sense, a corporation, local government, trade union or Church). I exclude all 'revenue' cases of whatever form from this category, for they raise special problems. So we may be talking about the right of a Town Council to withdraw a market trader's licence because he was seen urinating against a wall,27 about a habeas corpus plea by an alleged fugitive from a foreign government sentenced to deportation,28 about an industry claiming the right to a subsidy the Ministry of Technology does not want to grant,29 or about the owner of a Caravan Park refused planning permission.30 Of course this is a broad category, imposed on what professional lawyers would see as separate areas of the law. But any decision in favour of the state means supporting the central coercive power against a weaker individual attempting to assert a right, privilege, or immunity. Like the criminal law category discussed earlier, it is immediately cashable into a dimension of real politics, is expressable in ordinary and academic political language, and represents a version of conservatism. That the 'conservatism' inherent in supporting the state in criminal prosecutions does not necessarily go with 26 I have no desire to apply contentious labels. Whatever the philosophy of conservatism says, however, hard line 'law and order' attitudes are associated with the politico-psychological syndrome of conservatism. See Hans J. Eysenck, The Psychology of Politics (London: Routledge, 1954). 27 This particular case actually never got beyond the Queen's Bench Division, but there are many roughly similar cases. Take, for example, the long line of cases dealing with the regulation of Bingo Halls, which raise similar problems of natural justice. 28 Armah v. Government of Ghana (1968) A.C.192. 29 British Oxygen Ltd. v. Minister of Technology (1971), A.C.6io. 30 Chertsey UDC v. Mixnam's Properties (I965) A.C.735.
at the level of the criminal courts of first instance, there are good reasons for taking it more seriously as a question about appeal judges. When asked about trial judges, who do not decide guilt, it is a question about sentencing practice, and probably reflects psychological differences, or differences about theories of criminal deterrence. Asked of Law Lords, it is a question about legal beliefs, for the issues in criminal appeals to the Lords are, for example, about the acceptability of evidence. They are about whether an alleged crime is, in fact, forbidden by the law; the fairness of summings up; police investigatory behaviour; or definitions in statutes, all informed by, and relevant to, the general area of criminal civil liberties. To be a hard-line 'pro-prosecution' judge in the House of Lords is to take a robust attitude to claims that it would be unfair actually to punish someone whom a jury had convicted of doing what the police said he did. This is clearly a political, but also a legal, attitude, and it is one that can fairly be judged 'conservative' in one of the many senses of that word.26 A second dimension worth investigating relates to the non-criminal coercion of the state. I call this, for want of a better phrase, the 'public law' aspect. By public law I include all non-criminal cases where one of the litigants is the state in some form or other, and the other is an individual (although he may be an artificial individual, as in the legal sense, a corporation, local government, trade union or Church). I exclude all 'revenue' cases of whatever form from this category, for they raise special problems. So we may be talking about the right of a Town Council to withdraw a market trader's licence because he was seen urinating against a wall,27 about a habeas corpus plea by an alleged fugitive from a foreign government sentenced to deportation,28 about an industry claiming the right to a subsidy the Ministry of Technology does not want to grant,29 or about the owner of a Caravan Park refused planning permission.30 Of course this is a broad category, imposed on what professional lawyers would see as separate areas of the law. But any decision in favour of the state means supporting the central coercive power against a weaker individual attempting to assert a right, privilege, or immunity. Like the criminal law category discussed earlier, it is immediately cashable into a dimension of real politics, is expressable in ordinary and academic political language, and represents a version of conservatism. That the 'conservatism' inherent in supporting the state in criminal prosecutions does not necessarily go with 26 I have no desire to apply contentious labels. Whatever the philosophy of conservatism says, however, hard line 'law and order' attitudes are associated with the politico-psychological syndrome of conservatism. See Hans J. Eysenck, The Psychology of Politics (London: Routledge, 1954). 27 This particular case actually never got beyond the Queen's Bench Division, but there are many roughly similar cases. Take, for example, the long line of cases dealing with the regulation of Bingo Halls, which raise similar problems of natural justice. 28 Armah v. Government of Ghana (1968) A.C.192. 29 British Oxygen Ltd. v. Minister of Technology (1971), A.C.6io. 30 Chertsey UDC v. Mixnam's Properties (I965) A.C.735.
I3
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the 'conservatism' of supporting state infringements in civil liberties and privileges is clear. Whether they go together in judicial ideology is an empirical question.
TABLE 6 Judicial Scores on Two Basic Dimensions
% of criminal cases % of public law cases
Lord pro prosecution pro State
Reid 51 (4I) 66 (29) Morris 63 (41) 58 (24) Hodson 63 (24) 50 (12) Guest 78 (i8) 50 (Io) Pearce 65 (20) IOO (7) Donovan 80 (io) 33 (6) Upjohn 47 (15) 88 (8) Wilberforce 62 (26) 50 (30) Pearson 8i (2I) 58 (I2) Diplock 77 (34) 33 (21) Dilhorne 78 (32) 38 (21) Simon 78 (18) 56 (i6) Kilbrandon 82 (I7) 57 (14) Salmon 80 (25) 63 (i6) Edmund-Davies 88 (i6) 38 (8) Russell 80 (5) 39 (13) Cross 83 (12) 42 (12)
Note: The figures in brackets are the number of cases in each category a judge heard. They are frequently very small, which is why most of our analysis is undertaken on groups of judges rather than individuals.
According to our basic research design, separate scores are calculated for each Law Lord on these categories. It is simply a matter of calculating what proportion of criminal appeals a judge decided in favour of the state. The full data for these two variables are reported in Table 6. In many cases, as can be seen, the number of cases of a particular type decided by a judge are so few as to make the resulting proportions highly unreliable. None the less a rough picture emerges, even from a casual inspection, that begins to identify the two first dimensions of the ideological map, at least for the 'early' court. Tables 7 and 8 give more exact support, reporting correlation coefficients that measure the relationship between each variable and each dimension. It is clear that for both courts the first dimension is significantly correlated with tendencies to support the prosecution in criminal law cases. For the 'early' court, it is also clear that the second dimension of the judicial affinity map is significantly correlated with the state/individual distinction suggested for cases of public law. As Table 6 shows, the proportions used in calculating these correlations are probably suspect (being often based on small numbers of cases). A different
the 'conservatism' of supporting state infringements in civil liberties and privileges is clear. Whether they go together in judicial ideology is an empirical question.
TABLE 6 Judicial Scores on Two Basic Dimensions
% of criminal cases % of public law cases
Lord pro prosecution pro State
Reid 51 (4I) 66 (29) Morris 63 (41) 58 (24) Hodson 63 (24) 50 (12) Guest 78 (i8) 50 (Io) Pearce 65 (20) IOO (7) Donovan 80 (io) 33 (6) Upjohn 47 (15) 88 (8) Wilberforce 62 (26) 50 (30) Pearson 8i (2I) 58 (I2) Diplock 77 (34) 33 (21) Dilhorne 78 (32) 38 (21) Simon 78 (18) 56 (i6) Kilbrandon 82 (I7) 57 (14) Salmon 80 (25) 63 (i6) Edmund-Davies 88 (i6) 38 (8) Russell 80 (5) 39 (13) Cross 83 (12) 42 (12)
Note: The figures in brackets are the number of cases in each category a judge heard. They are frequently very small, which is why most of our analysis is undertaken on groups of judges rather than individuals.
According to our basic research design, separate scores are calculated for each Law Lord on these categories. It is simply a matter of calculating what proportion of criminal appeals a judge decided in favour of the state. The full data for these two variables are reported in Table 6. In many cases, as can be seen, the number of cases of a particular type decided by a judge are so few as to make the resulting proportions highly unreliable. None the less a rough picture emerges, even from a casual inspection, that begins to identify the two first dimensions of the ideological map, at least for the 'early' court. Tables 7 and 8 give more exact support, reporting correlation coefficients that measure the relationship between each variable and each dimension. It is clear that for both courts the first dimension is significantly correlated with tendencies to support the prosecution in criminal law cases. For the 'early' court, it is also clear that the second dimension of the judicial affinity map is significantly correlated with the state/individual distinction suggested for cases of public law. As Table 6 shows, the proportions used in calculating these correlations are probably suspect (being often based on small numbers of cases). A different
the 'conservatism' of supporting state infringements in civil liberties and privileges is clear. Whether they go together in judicial ideology is an empirical question.
TABLE 6 Judicial Scores on Two Basic Dimensions
% of criminal cases % of public law cases
Lord pro prosecution pro State
Reid 51 (4I) 66 (29) Morris 63 (41) 58 (24) Hodson 63 (24) 50 (12) Guest 78 (i8) 50 (Io) Pearce 65 (20) IOO (7) Donovan 80 (io) 33 (6) Upjohn 47 (15) 88 (8) Wilberforce 62 (26) 50 (30) Pearson 8i (2I) 58 (I2) Diplock 77 (34) 33 (21) Dilhorne 78 (32) 38 (21) Simon 78 (18) 56 (i6) Kilbrandon 82 (I7) 57 (14) Salmon 80 (25) 63 (i6) Edmund-Davies 88 (i6) 38 (8) Russell 80 (5) 39 (13) Cross 83 (12) 42 (12)
Note: The figures in brackets are the number of cases in each category a judge heard. They are frequently very small, which is why most of our analysis is undertaken on groups of judges rather than individuals.
According to our basic research design, separate scores are calculated for each Law Lord on these categories. It is simply a matter of calculating what proportion of criminal appeals a judge decided in favour of the state. The full data for these two variables are reported in Table 6. In many cases, as can be seen, the number of cases of a particular type decided by a judge are so few as to make the resulting proportions highly unreliable. None the less a rough picture emerges, even from a casual inspection, that begins to identify the two first dimensions of the ideological map, at least for the 'early' court. Tables 7 and 8 give more exact support, reporting correlation coefficients that measure the relationship between each variable and each dimension. It is clear that for both courts the first dimension is significantly correlated with tendencies to support the prosecution in criminal law cases. For the 'early' court, it is also clear that the second dimension of the judicial affinity map is significantly correlated with the state/individual distinction suggested for cases of public law. As Table 6 shows, the proportions used in calculating these correlations are probably suspect (being often based on small numbers of cases). A different
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TABLE 7 Correlations Between Judicial Scores on MDSC Dimensions and Judicial Voting Record on Two Types of Cases: First Set of Law Lords
Variable ISt Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Proportion of criminal law cases decided for prosecution 0-52* 0-46 0-20 Proportion of public law cases decided for the State -o046t -0'70* 0-13
- Significant at at least 5 per cent level. t Significant only at the io per cent level.
TABLE 8 Correlations Between Individual Scores on MDSC Dimensions and Judicial Voting Record on Two Types of Cases: Second Set of Law Lords
Variable ist Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Criminal cases 0.78* -0-22 -0-30 Public law cases -0-49t -0-26 -0-28
- Significant at at least 5 per cent level. t Significant only at the io per cent level.
strategy has therefore been adopted to substantiate and develop these patterns, and to investigate certain further aspects of 'judicial' ideology and its change over time. Because it is unreliable to count judges separately, it seemed sensible to group judges together according to the clusterings shown in the tables. Thus, although one might be uneasy about comparing Lords X and Y, who heard only thirty public law cases between them, one can feel happier comparing group X and group Y, natural clusterings of judges on the map, who may have heard a hundred cases between them. Such groupings allow one to retain a disaggregating emphasis on the differences between judicial ideologies, something the class model so completely ignores. This grouping also allows one to offer certain explanations for a change over time in the dimensions of judicial ideology that will shortly appear. Rather than group the judges together intuitively by inspecting a map, a process that leaves the analyst open to charges of arranging the data to suit his purposes, an objective grouping was achieved by using a single cluster analysis programme. The input data for this programme (Johnson's Hierarchical Clustering programme HICLUS)31 were the original similarity matrices used for the MDSCAL analysis. The groupings of judges, representing 31 I am grateful to Eric Tanenbaum, SSRC Survey Archive, Essex University, for providing me with this programme and for help in running it.
TABLE 7 Correlations Between Judicial Scores on MDSC Dimensions and Judicial Voting Record on Two Types of Cases: First Set of Law Lords
Variable ISt Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Proportion of criminal law cases decided for prosecution 0-52* 0-46 0-20 Proportion of public law cases decided for the State -o046t -0'70* 0-13
- Significant at at least 5 per cent level. t Significant only at the io per cent level.
TABLE 8 Correlations Between Individual Scores on MDSC Dimensions and Judicial Voting Record on Two Types of Cases: Second Set of Law Lords
Variable ist Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Criminal cases 0.78* -0-22 -0-30 Public law cases -0-49t -0-26 -0-28
- Significant at at least 5 per cent level. t Significant only at the io per cent level.
strategy has therefore been adopted to substantiate and develop these patterns, and to investigate certain further aspects of 'judicial' ideology and its change over time. Because it is unreliable to count judges separately, it seemed sensible to group judges together according to the clusterings shown in the tables. Thus, although one might be uneasy about comparing Lords X and Y, who heard only thirty public law cases between them, one can feel happier comparing group X and group Y, natural clusterings of judges on the map, who may have heard a hundred cases between them. Such groupings allow one to retain a disaggregating emphasis on the differences between judicial ideologies, something the class model so completely ignores. This grouping also allows one to offer certain explanations for a change over time in the dimensions of judicial ideology that will shortly appear. Rather than group the judges together intuitively by inspecting a map, a process that leaves the analyst open to charges of arranging the data to suit his purposes, an objective grouping was achieved by using a single cluster analysis programme. The input data for this programme (Johnson's Hierarchical Clustering programme HICLUS)31 were the original similarity matrices used for the MDSCAL analysis. The groupings of judges, representing 31 I am grateful to Eric Tanenbaum, SSRC Survey Archive, Essex University, for providing me with this programme and for help in running it.
TABLE 7 Correlations Between Judicial Scores on MDSC Dimensions and Judicial Voting Record on Two Types of Cases: First Set of Law Lords
Variable ISt Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Proportion of criminal law cases decided for prosecution 0-52* 0-46 0-20 Proportion of public law cases decided for the State -o046t -0'70* 0-13
- Significant at at least 5 per cent level. t Significant only at the io per cent level.
TABLE 8 Correlations Between Individual Scores on MDSC Dimensions and Judicial Voting Record on Two Types of Cases: Second Set of Law Lords
Variable ist Dimension 2nd Dimension 3rd Dimension
Criminal cases 0.78* -0-22 -0-30 Public law cases -0-49t -0-26 -0-28
- Significant at at least 5 per cent level. t Significant only at the io per cent level.
strategy has therefore been adopted to substantiate and develop these patterns, and to investigate certain further aspects of 'judicial' ideology and its change over time. Because it is unreliable to count judges separately, it seemed sensible to group judges together according to the clusterings shown in the tables. Thus, although one might be uneasy about comparing Lords X and Y, who heard only thirty public law cases between them, one can feel happier comparing group X and group Y, natural clusterings of judges on the map, who may have heard a hundred cases between them. Such groupings allow one to retain a disaggregating emphasis on the differences between judicial ideologies, something the class model so completely ignores. This grouping also allows one to offer certain explanations for a change over time in the dimensions of judicial ideology that will shortly appear. Rather than group the judges together intuitively by inspecting a map, a process that leaves the analyst open to charges of arranging the data to suit his purposes, an objective grouping was achieved by using a single cluster analysis programme. The input data for this programme (Johnson's Hierarchical Clustering programme HICLUS)31 were the original similarity matrices used for the MDSCAL analysis. The groupings of judges, representing 31 I am grateful to Eric Tanenbaum, SSRC Survey Archive, Essex University, for providing me with this programme and for help in running it.
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TABLE 9 Cluster Analysis Grouping Information
Because of the unreliability of the individual judge data, cluster analysis was used on each set of Law Lords to produce, for each set, two groups of judges. The input matrix for each analysis was that used for the MDSC solution. The clustering that produced only two groups and included all judges from the set was chosen for simplicity. The clustering is instrumental only, and was not intended to support any hypothesis. In each case Johnson's Hierarchical Clustering Program HICLUS was used, and the solutions obtained used the Diameter method.
I ist Set of Law Lords The two-group solution yields the following groups: A Lords Guest, Wilberforce, Pearce, Reid and Upjohn. B Lords Diplock, Dilhorne, Donovan, Hodson, Morris and Pearson.
II 2nd Set of Law Lords The two-group solution yields: A1 Lords Morris, Reid, Dilhorne and Simon. B1 Lords Edmund-Davies, Diplock, Kilbrandon, Salmon, Wilberforce and Cross.
'natural' clusterings from this original proximity data are reported in Table 9. They do not entirely correspond with the 'eyeball' groupings one might construct for the map. This is because the maps would be one- or twodimensional representations of what should have been a multi-dimensional solution. They are more reliable groupings, therefore, and the fact that such groupings replicate the ideological distinctions reported makes one more confident in the conclusions, not only because sample sizes of cases in categories are now much greater, but because all available information on judicial similarities has been utilized. With these groups we can repeat the identification of the main dimensions in a more easily interpretable fashion, by looking directly at tables of decisions. Instead of talking about the relationship between dimensions and categories, we can address ourselves directly to the performance of groups of judges; the connection between these groups and the dimensional locations is still fairly strong. First let us note, in Table Io, the strength and permanence, during both early and late courts, of a criminal law dimension. Groups A and B in the early court, and A1 and B1 in the later, are significantly different in their probability of supporting the prosecution in such cases. The distinction is much the same in both courts. There is a 12 percentage point difference for the first court: Group B (Lords Diplock, Dilhorne, Donovan, Hodson, Morris and Pearson) are significantly less likely to find for the criminal accused in such cases. In the second court Group B1 is I i percentage points more likely
TABLE 9 Cluster Analysis Grouping Information
Because of the unreliability of the individual judge data, cluster analysis was used on each set of Law Lords to produce, for each set, two groups of judges. The input matrix for each analysis was that used for the MDSC solution. The clustering that produced only two groups and included all judges from the set was chosen for simplicity. The clustering is instrumental only, and was not intended to support any hypothesis. In each case Johnson's Hierarchical Clustering Program HICLUS was used, and the solutions obtained used the Diameter method.
I ist Set of Law Lords The two-group solution yields the following groups: A Lords Guest, Wilberforce, Pearce, Reid and Upjohn. B Lords Diplock, Dilhorne, Donovan, Hodson, Morris and Pearson.
II 2nd Set of Law Lords The two-group solution yields: A1 Lords Morris, Reid, Dilhorne and Simon. B1 Lords Edmund-Davies, Diplock, Kilbrandon, Salmon, Wilberforce and Cross.
'natural' clusterings from this original proximity data are reported in Table 9. They do not entirely correspond with the 'eyeball' groupings one might construct for the map. This is because the maps would be one- or twodimensional representations of what should have been a multi-dimensional solution. They are more reliable groupings, therefore, and the fact that such groupings replicate the ideological distinctions reported makes one more confident in the conclusions, not only because sample sizes of cases in categories are now much greater, but because all available information on judicial similarities has been utilized. With these groups we can repeat the identification of the main dimensions in a more easily interpretable fashion, by looking directly at tables of decisions. Instead of talking about the relationship between dimensions and categories, we can address ourselves directly to the performance of groups of judges; the connection between these groups and the dimensional locations is still fairly strong. First let us note, in Table Io, the strength and permanence, during both early and late courts, of a criminal law dimension. Groups A and B in the early court, and A1 and B1 in the later, are significantly different in their probability of supporting the prosecution in such cases. The distinction is much the same in both courts. There is a 12 percentage point difference for the first court: Group B (Lords Diplock, Dilhorne, Donovan, Hodson, Morris and Pearson) are significantly less likely to find for the criminal accused in such cases. In the second court Group B1 is I i percentage points more likely
TABLE 9 Cluster Analysis Grouping Information
Because of the unreliability of the individual judge data, cluster analysis was used on each set of Law Lords to produce, for each set, two groups of judges. The input matrix for each analysis was that used for the MDSC solution. The clustering that produced only two groups and included all judges from the set was chosen for simplicity. The clustering is instrumental only, and was not intended to support any hypothesis. In each case Johnson's Hierarchical Clustering Program HICLUS was used, and the solutions obtained used the Diameter method.
I ist Set of Law Lords The two-group solution yields the following groups: A Lords Guest, Wilberforce, Pearce, Reid and Upjohn. B Lords Diplock, Dilhorne, Donovan, Hodson, Morris and Pearson.
II 2nd Set of Law Lords The two-group solution yields: A1 Lords Morris, Reid, Dilhorne and Simon. B1 Lords Edmund-Davies, Diplock, Kilbrandon, Salmon, Wilberforce and Cross.
'natural' clusterings from this original proximity data are reported in Table 9. They do not entirely correspond with the 'eyeball' groupings one might construct for the map. This is because the maps would be one- or twodimensional representations of what should have been a multi-dimensional solution. They are more reliable groupings, therefore, and the fact that such groupings replicate the ideological distinctions reported makes one more confident in the conclusions, not only because sample sizes of cases in categories are now much greater, but because all available information on judicial similarities has been utilized. With these groups we can repeat the identification of the main dimensions in a more easily interpretable fashion, by looking directly at tables of decisions. Instead of talking about the relationship between dimensions and categories, we can address ourselves directly to the performance of groups of judges; the connection between these groups and the dimensional locations is still fairly strong. First let us note, in Table Io, the strength and permanence, during both early and late courts, of a criminal law dimension. Groups A and B in the early court, and A1 and B1 in the later, are significantly different in their probability of supporting the prosecution in such cases. The distinction is much the same in both courts. There is a 12 percentage point difference for the first court: Group B (Lords Diplock, Dilhorne, Donovan, Hodson, Morris and Pearson) are significantly less likely to find for the criminal accused in such cases. In the second court Group B1 is I i percentage points more likely
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TABLE 0 Voting of Groups of Judges in Criminal Cases
First set of Law Lords
Group A Group B
No. of votes for prosecution 71 117 (60%) (72%) No. of votes against prosecution 47 45 (40%) (28%) Total I 8 162 (ioo%) (Ioo%) Chi Square 4-496, Probability 0-034*
Second set of Law Lords
Group A1 Group B1 No. of votes for prosecution 86 104 (66%) (77%) No. of votes against prosecution 44 31 (34%) (23%) Total 120 135 (Ioo%) (ioo%) Chi Square 3'87, Probability 0049*
- i.e., the chance of getting the result by accident.
to find for the prosecution, although two of the 'tougher' judges from the first court's Group B are now in the 'softer' Group A1 compared with others in the later court. This suggests, and the suggestion is borne out by Table 15, that there has been a general shift to the 'pro prosecution' end of this distinction as a result of new members. If, following Table 12, we use the time groupings 'early', 'continuing' and 'late' instead of proximity groupings, we find no difference between those present only in the 'early' court and those present in both courts, but a 15-16 percentage point difference in pro-prosecution tendencies between either and those present only in the late court. This is slightly premature. Returning to Table I I, we see the change in the 'public law' dimension. Between the two proximity groups for the early court there is a dramatic difference in preparedness to uphold the state over the individual. While Group B (those most prosecution minded in criminal appeals) has only a 46 per cent probability of supporting the state in civil cases, Group A, the ones most 'liberal' in criminal cases, are much more likely (63 per cent) to support the state against the 'non-criminal' individual. This is a fascinating result, and one that makes theoretical sense; but it is a warning to those prone to an over-facile belief in the 'conservatism' of the judges. Evidently the 'conservatism' of men like Diplock and Morris, which is
TABLE 0 Voting of Groups of Judges in Criminal Cases
First set of Law Lords
Group A Group B
No. of votes for prosecution 71 117 (60%) (72%) No. of votes against prosecution 47 45 (40%) (28%) Total I 8 162 (ioo%) (Ioo%) Chi Square 4-496, Probability 0-034*
Second set of Law Lords
Group A1 Group B1 No. of votes for prosecution 86 104 (66%) (77%) No. of votes against prosecution 44 31 (34%) (23%) Total 120 135 (Ioo%) (ioo%) Chi Square 3'87, Probability 0049*
- i.e., the chance of getting the result by accident.
to find for the prosecution, although two of the 'tougher' judges from the first court's Group B are now in the 'softer' Group A1 compared with others in the later court. This suggests, and the suggestion is borne out by Table 15, that there has been a general shift to the 'pro prosecution' end of this distinction as a result of new members. If, following Table 12, we use the time groupings 'early', 'continuing' and 'late' instead of proximity groupings, we find no difference between those present only in the 'early' court and those present in both courts, but a 15-16 percentage point difference in pro-prosecution tendencies between either and those present only in the late court. This is slightly premature. Returning to Table I I, we see the change in the 'public law' dimension. Between the two proximity groups for the early court there is a dramatic difference in preparedness to uphold the state over the individual. While Group B (those most prosecution minded in criminal appeals) has only a 46 per cent probability of supporting the state in civil cases, Group A, the ones most 'liberal' in criminal cases, are much more likely (63 per cent) to support the state against the 'non-criminal' individual. This is a fascinating result, and one that makes theoretical sense; but it is a warning to those prone to an over-facile belief in the 'conservatism' of the judges. Evidently the 'conservatism' of men like Diplock and Morris, which is
TABLE 0 Voting of Groups of Judges in Criminal Cases
First set of Law Lords
Group A Group B
No. of votes for prosecution 71 117 (60%) (72%) No. of votes against prosecution 47 45 (40%) (28%) Total I 8 162 (ioo%) (Ioo%) Chi Square 4-496, Probability 0-034*
Second set of Law Lords
Group A1 Group B1 No. of votes for prosecution 86 104 (66%) (77%) No. of votes against prosecution 44 31 (34%) (23%) Total 120 135 (Ioo%) (ioo%) Chi Square 3'87, Probability 0049*
- i.e., the chance of getting the result by accident.
to find for the prosecution, although two of the 'tougher' judges from the first court's Group B are now in the 'softer' Group A1 compared with others in the later court. This suggests, and the suggestion is borne out by Table 15, that there has been a general shift to the 'pro prosecution' end of this distinction as a result of new members. If, following Table 12, we use the time groupings 'early', 'continuing' and 'late' instead of proximity groupings, we find no difference between those present only in the 'early' court and those present in both courts, but a 15-16 percentage point difference in pro-prosecution tendencies between either and those present only in the late court. This is slightly premature. Returning to Table I I, we see the change in the 'public law' dimension. Between the two proximity groups for the early court there is a dramatic difference in preparedness to uphold the state over the individual. While Group B (those most prosecution minded in criminal appeals) has only a 46 per cent probability of supporting the state in civil cases, Group A, the ones most 'liberal' in criminal cases, are much more likely (63 per cent) to support the state against the 'non-criminal' individual. This is a fascinating result, and one that makes theoretical sense; but it is a warning to those prone to an over-facile belief in the 'conservatism' of the judges. Evidently the 'conservatism' of men like Diplock and Morris, which is
I7
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TABLE I I Voting of Groups of Judges in Public Law Cases
First set of Law Lords
Group A Group B
No. of votes for the State 53 44 (63%) (46%) No. of votes against the State 31 52 (37%) (54%) Total 84 96 (Ioo%) (IOO%) Chi Square 5-37, Probability 0-021 Second set of Law Lords
Group A1 Group B1
No. of votes for the State 50 53 (55%) (47%) No. of votes against the State 41 6I (45%) (53%) Total 91 114 (Ioo%) (Ioo%) Chi Square I 447, Probability 0-23
TABLE I I Voting of Groups of Judges in Public Law Cases
First set of Law Lords
Group A Group B
No. of votes for the State 53 44 (63%) (46%) No. of votes against the State 31 52 (37%) (54%) Total 84 96 (Ioo%) (IOO%) Chi Square 5-37, Probability 0-021 Second set of Law Lords
Group A1 Group B1
No. of votes for the State 50 53 (55%) (47%) No. of votes against the State 41 6I (45%) (53%) Total 91 114 (Ioo%) (Ioo%) Chi Square I 447, Probability 0-23
TABLE I I Voting of Groups of Judges in Public Law Cases
First set of Law Lords
Group A Group B
No. of votes for the State 53 44 (63%) (46%) No. of votes against the State 31 52 (37%) (54%) Total 84 96 (Ioo%) (IOO%) Chi Square 5-37, Probability 0-021 Second set of Law Lords
Group A1 Group B1
No. of votes for the State 50 53 (55%) (47%) No. of votes against the State 41 6I (45%) (53%) Total 91 114 (Ioo%) (Ioo%) Chi Square I 447, Probability 0-23
protective of the interests of non-criminals in conflict with the state, is notably different from that of judges like Guest and Wilberforce, who are much more sensitive to injustice in criminal cases than in those where the interest of the state is more general. Comparing this result with Tables 10 and i , however, one sees that a change has effectively removed this public law dimension. The new groups A1 and B1 are not significantly different in their reactions to public law cases (although A1 is still marginally more 'statist'). Again, Table 12 shows this to be a result of judicial replacement: the group who served through the early part of our period, Lords Hodson, Guest, Pearce, Donovan, Upjohn and Pearson, were the ones prone to support the state, and there is no difference between the 'continually present' judges and the newcomers, both being more alive, as groups, to the interests of the individual. Anyone with a passing knowledge of recent developments in public law will know that since the middle I96os, in cases like Conway v. Rimmer,32 the House has been making some inroads into the power of the executive, especially through the ultra vires doctrine. These tables are revealing of how much this change has been occasioned by new minds in the House, rather than by the judicial conversion of those long in it. At the same time they suggest that there has been, and, as the 'continually present' group retire, will 32 Conway v. Rimmer (I968), A.C.9Io.
protective of the interests of non-criminals in conflict with the state, is notably different from that of judges like Guest and Wilberforce, who are much more sensitive to injustice in criminal cases than in those where the interest of the state is more general. Comparing this result with Tables 10 and i , however, one sees that a change has effectively removed this public law dimension. The new groups A1 and B1 are not significantly different in their reactions to public law cases (although A1 is still marginally more 'statist'). Again, Table 12 shows this to be a result of judicial replacement: the group who served through the early part of our period, Lords Hodson, Guest, Pearce, Donovan, Upjohn and Pearson, were the ones prone to support the state, and there is no difference between the 'continually present' judges and the newcomers, both being more alive, as groups, to the interests of the individual. Anyone with a passing knowledge of recent developments in public law will know that since the middle I96os, in cases like Conway v. Rimmer,32 the House has been making some inroads into the power of the executive, especially through the ultra vires doctrine. These tables are revealing of how much this change has been occasioned by new minds in the House, rather than by the judicial conversion of those long in it. At the same time they suggest that there has been, and, as the 'continually present' group retire, will 32 Conway v. Rimmer (I968), A.C.9Io.
protective of the interests of non-criminals in conflict with the state, is notably different from that of judges like Guest and Wilberforce, who are much more sensitive to injustice in criminal cases than in those where the interest of the state is more general. Comparing this result with Tables 10 and i , however, one sees that a change has effectively removed this public law dimension. The new groups A1 and B1 are not significantly different in their reactions to public law cases (although A1 is still marginally more 'statist'). Again, Table 12 shows this to be a result of judicial replacement: the group who served through the early part of our period, Lords Hodson, Guest, Pearce, Donovan, Upjohn and Pearson, were the ones prone to support the state, and there is no difference between the 'continually present' judges and the newcomers, both being more alive, as groups, to the interests of the individual. Anyone with a passing knowledge of recent developments in public law will know that since the middle I96os, in cases like Conway v. Rimmer,32 the House has been making some inroads into the power of the executive, especially through the ultra vires doctrine. These tables are revealing of how much this change has been occasioned by new minds in the House, rather than by the judicial conversion of those long in it. At the same time they suggest that there has been, and, as the 'continually present' group retire, will 32 Conway v. Rimmer (I968), A.C.9Io.
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TABLE I2 Comparison of Voting of Judges According to 'Time Groups'
Early group Continuing group Late group (Simon, Cross, (Hodson, Guest, (Reid, Morris, Edmund-Davies, Criminal Law Pearce, Donovan, Diplock, Dilhorne, Kilbrandon, Cases Upjohn, Pearson) Wilberforce) Salmon, Russell)
No. of votes for 74 114 76 prosecution (67%) (66%) (82%) No. of votes against 34 60 17 prosecution (33%) (34%) (I8%) Total io8 174 93 (Ioo%) (IOO%) (IOO%) Chi Square 7-89, Probability o0o09
Public Law Cases Early group Continuing group Late group
No. of votes for 34 63 40 the State (62%) (50%) (50%) No. of votes against 21 62 40 the State (38%) (50%) (50%) Total 55 125 80 (IOO%) (Ioo%) (00o%) Chi Square 2-33, Probability 0-3I
TABLE I2 Comparison of Voting of Judges According to 'Time Groups'
Early group Continuing group Late group (Simon, Cross, (Hodson, Guest, (Reid, Morris, Edmund-Davies, Criminal Law Pearce, Donovan, Diplock, Dilhorne, Kilbrandon, Cases Upjohn, Pearson) Wilberforce) Salmon, Russell)
No. of votes for 74 114 76 prosecution (67%) (66%) (82%) No. of votes against 34 60 17 prosecution (33%) (34%) (I8%) Total io8 174 93 (Ioo%) (IOO%) (IOO%) Chi Square 7-89, Probability o0o09
Public Law Cases Early group Continuing group Late group
No. of votes for 34 63 40 the State (62%) (50%) (50%) No. of votes against 21 62 40 the State (38%) (50%) (50%) Total 55 125 80 (IOO%) (Ioo%) (00o%) Chi Square 2-33, Probability 0-3I
TABLE I2 Comparison of Voting of Judges According to 'Time Groups'
Early group Continuing group Late group (Simon, Cross, (Hodson, Guest, (Reid, Morris, Edmund-Davies, Criminal Law Pearce, Donovan, Diplock, Dilhorne, Kilbrandon, Cases Upjohn, Pearson) Wilberforce) Salmon, Russell)
No. of votes for 74 114 76 prosecution (67%) (66%) (82%) No. of votes against 34 60 17 prosecution (33%) (34%) (I8%) Total io8 174 93 (Ioo%) (IOO%) (IOO%) Chi Square 7-89, Probability o0o09
Public Law Cases Early group Continuing group Late group
No. of votes for 34 63 40 the State (62%) (50%) (50%) No. of votes against 21 62 40 the State (38%) (50%) (50%) Total 55 125 80 (IOO%) (Ioo%) (00o%) Chi Square 2-33, Probability 0-3I
probably increasingly be, a shift from sympathy with those whose conflict with the state is over criminal justice, to those who escape such categorization. For note that the 'continual group' were the same as the 'early group' in being sympathetic to criminals, and the same as the 'late group' in having sympathy for individuals 'oppressed' by the state. The 'early' court in many ways is more interesting than the 'late', because the pattern of group differences in the former can be shown to extend widely into the fields of law. It is a necessary deduction from my notion that prevailing judicial ideologies will be 'legal' or 'professional' that they should enter not only into cases of criminal and public law that are obviously 'politically relevant', but into the less obviously 'political' cases of day-to-day civil law. A serious criticism of both class models and of jurimetrics is that they restrict so considerably the scope of 'political' cases. For surely anything which has as much impact on ordinary life as that of a leading decision of a tort case covering manufacturers' liability for dangerous products is at least as important as a ruling on fugitive offenders that is never likely to affect the majority of us.33 Griffith seems to me to give away half his case when he says, of judicial neutrality,
33 Anyone reading the argument in the most famous of these cases, Donoghue v. Stevenson (1932), A.C.562, will see that the judges themselves were aware of the enormous consequences of what they were doing.
probably increasingly be, a shift from sympathy with those whose conflict with the state is over criminal justice, to those who escape such categorization. For note that the 'continual group' were the same as the 'early group' in being sympathetic to criminals, and the same as the 'late group' in having sympathy for individuals 'oppressed' by the state. The 'early' court in many ways is more interesting than the 'late', because the pattern of group differences in the former can be shown to extend widely into the fields of law. It is a necessary deduction from my notion that prevailing judicial ideologies will be 'legal' or 'professional' that they should enter not only into cases of criminal and public law that are obviously 'politically relevant', but into the less obviously 'political' cases of day-to-day civil law. A serious criticism of both class models and of jurimetrics is that they restrict so considerably the scope of 'political' cases. For surely anything which has as much impact on ordinary life as that of a leading decision of a tort case covering manufacturers' liability for dangerous products is at least as important as a ruling on fugitive offenders that is never likely to affect the majority of us.33 Griffith seems to me to give away half his case when he says, of judicial neutrality,
33 Anyone reading the argument in the most famous of these cases, Donoghue v. Stevenson (1932), A.C.562, will see that the judges themselves were aware of the enormous consequences of what they were doing.
probably increasingly be, a shift from sympathy with those whose conflict with the state is over criminal justice, to those who escape such categorization. For note that the 'continual group' were the same as the 'early group' in being sympathetic to criminals, and the same as the 'late group' in having sympathy for individuals 'oppressed' by the state. The 'early' court in many ways is more interesting than the 'late', because the pattern of group differences in the former can be shown to extend widely into the fields of law. It is a necessary deduction from my notion that prevailing judicial ideologies will be 'legal' or 'professional' that they should enter not only into cases of criminal and public law that are obviously 'politically relevant', but into the less obviously 'political' cases of day-to-day civil law. A serious criticism of both class models and of jurimetrics is that they restrict so considerably the scope of 'political' cases. For surely anything which has as much impact on ordinary life as that of a leading decision of a tort case covering manufacturers' liability for dangerous products is at least as important as a ruling on fugitive offenders that is never likely to affect the majority of us.33 Griffith seems to me to give away half his case when he says, of judicial neutrality,
33 Anyone reading the argument in the most famous of these cases, Donoghue v. Stevenson (1932), A.C.562, will see that the judges themselves were aware of the enormous consequences of what they were doing.
I9
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Where the issues are simple and the dispute limited to the interests of the two parties the judge may fulfil his traditional function. Divorce, the meaning of a contract between businessmen, a personal claim for injury sustained in a road accident, the buying and selling of a house - for these the traditional view often suffices. But less simple issues can easily emerge . . Then other persons and even the state itself may be involved.34
TABLE I3 Voting in Clearly 'Unequal' Cases
Group A Group B
No. of votes for 'more powerful' 50 50 side (59%) (48%) No. of votes for 'weaker' 34 54 side (41%) (52%) Total 84 104 (ioo%) (IOO%) Chi Square 2-45, Probability o012
Where the issues are simple and the dispute limited to the interests of the two parties the judge may fulfil his traditional function. Divorce, the meaning of a contract between businessmen, a personal claim for injury sustained in a road accident, the buying and selling of a house - for these the traditional view often suffices. But less simple issues can easily emerge . . Then other persons and even the state itself may be involved.34
TABLE I3 Voting in Clearly 'Unequal' Cases
Group A Group B
No. of votes for 'more powerful' 50 50 side (59%) (48%) No. of votes for 'weaker' 34 54 side (41%) (52%) Total 84 104 (ioo%) (IOO%) Chi Square 2-45, Probability o012
Where the issues are simple and the dispute limited to the interests of the two parties the judge may fulfil his traditional function. Divorce, the meaning of a contract between businessmen, a personal claim for injury sustained in a road accident, the buying and selling of a house - for these the traditional view often suffices. But less simple issues can easily emerge . . Then other persons and even the state itself may be involved.34
TABLE I3 Voting in Clearly 'Unequal' Cases
Group A Group B
No. of votes for 'more powerful' 50 50 side (59%) (48%) No. of votes for 'weaker' 34 54 side (41%) (52%) Total 84 104 (ioo%) (IOO%) Chi Square 2-45, Probability o012
It is much harder, especially in this sort of aggregative statistical analysis, to investigate judicial ideology in ordinary civil law, for one cannot easily rule on what 'sides' of a case 'ought' to be voted for by which ideological affinity group. But at least one fairly simple extension can be made. Many civil cases can be seen as involving litigants of clearly unequal 'power', 'resources', or 'status'. A victim of a road accident who sues a road haulage firm is clearly the weaker, more vulnerable, 'side'.35 So is a policeman trying to appeal against a court which reduced the damages (paid in any case by an insurance firm) he was entitled to from an accident in no way his fault because he would get a small pension.36 More typically, workers trying to sue for industrial injuries against large firms can hardly be seen as equal participants.37 As many as possible of our cases were therefore coded according to whether both sides were effectively equal, or one or other clearly more powerful than the other. Table 13 shows how the groups A and B who were clearly different in their attitudes to public law carried this difference over into civil cases where an analogous inequality existed. As it shows, the pattern is maintained, although not as sharply. Although there is no statistically significant difference between groups A and B, Group B none the less has less than a fifty-fifty chance of voting for the more 'powerful' side, while Group A has nearly a 60 per cent probability of supporting, in civil as well as public law, the bigger side. Table 14 may well reflect this difference too, for it takes only cases in contract law (widely interpreted to include many Admiralty cases). Here the pattern gives us a I6 percentage point difference, with Group B much less
34 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. 187. 35 Henderson v. Henry E. Jenkins and Sons (1970), A.C.282. 36 Parry v. Cleaver (1970), A.C.I. 37 ICI Ltd. v. Shotwell (I965), A.C.656.
It is much harder, especially in this sort of aggregative statistical analysis, to investigate judicial ideology in ordinary civil law, for one cannot easily rule on what 'sides' of a case 'ought' to be voted for by which ideological affinity group. But at least one fairly simple extension can be made. Many civil cases can be seen as involving litigants of clearly unequal 'power', 'resources', or 'status'. A victim of a road accident who sues a road haulage firm is clearly the weaker, more vulnerable, 'side'.35 So is a policeman trying to appeal against a court which reduced the damages (paid in any case by an insurance firm) he was entitled to from an accident in no way his fault because he would get a small pension.36 More typically, workers trying to sue for industrial injuries against large firms can hardly be seen as equal participants.37 As many as possible of our cases were therefore coded according to whether both sides were effectively equal, or one or other clearly more powerful than the other. Table 13 shows how the groups A and B who were clearly different in their attitudes to public law carried this difference over into civil cases where an analogous inequality existed. As it shows, the pattern is maintained, although not as sharply. Although there is no statistically significant difference between groups A and B, Group B none the less has less than a fifty-fifty chance of voting for the more 'powerful' side, while Group A has nearly a 60 per cent probability of supporting, in civil as well as public law, the bigger side. Table 14 may well reflect this difference too, for it takes only cases in contract law (widely interpreted to include many Admiralty cases). Here the pattern gives us a I6 percentage point difference, with Group B much less
34 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. 187. 35 Henderson v. Henry E. Jenkins and Sons (1970), A.C.282. 36 Parry v. Cleaver (1970), A.C.I. 37 ICI Ltd. v. Shotwell (I965), A.C.656.
It is much harder, especially in this sort of aggregative statistical analysis, to investigate judicial ideology in ordinary civil law, for one cannot easily rule on what 'sides' of a case 'ought' to be voted for by which ideological affinity group. But at least one fairly simple extension can be made. Many civil cases can be seen as involving litigants of clearly unequal 'power', 'resources', or 'status'. A victim of a road accident who sues a road haulage firm is clearly the weaker, more vulnerable, 'side'.35 So is a policeman trying to appeal against a court which reduced the damages (paid in any case by an insurance firm) he was entitled to from an accident in no way his fault because he would get a small pension.36 More typically, workers trying to sue for industrial injuries against large firms can hardly be seen as equal participants.37 As many as possible of our cases were therefore coded according to whether both sides were effectively equal, or one or other clearly more powerful than the other. Table 13 shows how the groups A and B who were clearly different in their attitudes to public law carried this difference over into civil cases where an analogous inequality existed. As it shows, the pattern is maintained, although not as sharply. Although there is no statistically significant difference between groups A and B, Group B none the less has less than a fifty-fifty chance of voting for the more 'powerful' side, while Group A has nearly a 60 per cent probability of supporting, in civil as well as public law, the bigger side. Table 14 may well reflect this difference too, for it takes only cases in contract law (widely interpreted to include many Admiralty cases). Here the pattern gives us a I6 percentage point difference, with Group B much less
34 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. 187. 35 Henderson v. Henry E. Jenkins and Sons (1970), A.C.282. 36 Parry v. Cleaver (1970), A.C.I. 37 ICI Ltd. v. Shotwell (I965), A.C.656.
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TABLE 14 Voting in Contract Law Cases
Group A Group B No. of votes for plaintiff 54 44 (72%) (56%) No. of votes for defendant 2I 35 (28%) (44%) Total 75 79 (IOO%) (100%) Chi Square 4'419, Probability 0-036
TABLE 14 Voting in Contract Law Cases
Group A Group B No. of votes for plaintiff 54 44 (72%) (56%) No. of votes for defendant 2I 35 (28%) (44%) Total 75 79 (IOO%) (100%) Chi Square 4'419, Probability 0-036
TABLE 14 Voting in Contract Law Cases
Group A Group B No. of votes for plaintiff 54 44 (72%) (56%) No. of votes for defendant 2I 35 (28%) (44%) Total 75 79 (IOO%) (100%) Chi Square 4'419, Probability 0-036
likely to find for the plaintiff. The data are harder to interpret without a time-consuming study of each case, but the logic of contract law tells us that the plaintiff is someone trying to enforce an obligation on one who, a priori, has failed to satisfy it. It seems quite plausible that this difference reflects a greater preparedness to 'accept excuses' (as it were), to mitigate the fierceness of demands that, in strict law, should be enforced. There may not be a logical connection between these three phenomena - supporting individuals against the state, the weak against the strong, and those who fail to live up to strict contractual obligations - but tests of logical entailment seldom work when applied to ideologies. Certainly there is an emotional appeal common to the three situations, and although a future, more detailed, investigation of the cases might make the point better,38 I would suggest we see here a strong ideological 'fit' that engages both political and 'legal' traditions that, if conservative, is so in a rather populist way. To sum up this more objective part of the analysis, we have good reason to believe that judges vary systematically in their use of discretion in at least two politically relevant areas, public and criminal law. Both a strictly individual analysis, and, more reliably, an affinity-group analysis distributed judges on dimensions registering Statism versus Individualism and Criminal Toughness versus Libertarianism. These distinctions are partially dependent on the judges' period of service: in the 'later' court there is near unanimity in being more 'individualistic' than 'statist', such that this dimension fails to distinguish groups as it did in the 'early' court. There still remains a serious cleavage on 'Criminal Toughness' because the newer appointees are markedly more 'prosecution oriented' that those who remain from the earlier court, although some of these were, in the previous court, themselves on the 'tougher' side. These 'obviously' political dimensions of judicial ideology penetrate into 'ordinary' legal cases, reflecting an extended concern for the weak, and possibly for those seeking to escape harsh obligations in contract law. The general shape of part of a judicial ideology operating through discretionary
38 The theoretical problems of deciding when a judgment is evidence of ideological bias, and what bias it might be evidence for, are very complex. Some discussion of this is contained in my forthcoming book: David Robertson, Judicial Ideology (Oxford: Clarendon, forthcoming 1982).
likely to find for the plaintiff. The data are harder to interpret without a time-consuming study of each case, but the logic of contract law tells us that the plaintiff is someone trying to enforce an obligation on one who, a priori, has failed to satisfy it. It seems quite plausible that this difference reflects a greater preparedness to 'accept excuses' (as it were), to mitigate the fierceness of demands that, in strict law, should be enforced. There may not be a logical connection between these three phenomena - supporting individuals against the state, the weak against the strong, and those who fail to live up to strict contractual obligations - but tests of logical entailment seldom work when applied to ideologies. Certainly there is an emotional appeal common to the three situations, and although a future, more detailed, investigation of the cases might make the point better,38 I would suggest we see here a strong ideological 'fit' that engages both political and 'legal' traditions that, if conservative, is so in a rather populist way. To sum up this more objective part of the analysis, we have good reason to believe that judges vary systematically in their use of discretion in at least two politically relevant areas, public and criminal law. Both a strictly individual analysis, and, more reliably, an affinity-group analysis distributed judges on dimensions registering Statism versus Individualism and Criminal Toughness versus Libertarianism. These distinctions are partially dependent on the judges' period of service: in the 'later' court there is near unanimity in being more 'individualistic' than 'statist', such that this dimension fails to distinguish groups as it did in the 'early' court. There still remains a serious cleavage on 'Criminal Toughness' because the newer appointees are markedly more 'prosecution oriented' that those who remain from the earlier court, although some of these were, in the previous court, themselves on the 'tougher' side. These 'obviously' political dimensions of judicial ideology penetrate into 'ordinary' legal cases, reflecting an extended concern for the weak, and possibly for those seeking to escape harsh obligations in contract law. The general shape of part of a judicial ideology operating through discretionary
38 The theoretical problems of deciding when a judgment is evidence of ideological bias, and what bias it might be evidence for, are very complex. Some discussion of this is contained in my forthcoming book: David Robertson, Judicial Ideology (Oxford: Clarendon, forthcoming 1982).
likely to find for the plaintiff. The data are harder to interpret without a time-consuming study of each case, but the logic of contract law tells us that the plaintiff is someone trying to enforce an obligation on one who, a priori, has failed to satisfy it. It seems quite plausible that this difference reflects a greater preparedness to 'accept excuses' (as it were), to mitigate the fierceness of demands that, in strict law, should be enforced. There may not be a logical connection between these three phenomena - supporting individuals against the state, the weak against the strong, and those who fail to live up to strict contractual obligations - but tests of logical entailment seldom work when applied to ideologies. Certainly there is an emotional appeal common to the three situations, and although a future, more detailed, investigation of the cases might make the point better,38 I would suggest we see here a strong ideological 'fit' that engages both political and 'legal' traditions that, if conservative, is so in a rather populist way. To sum up this more objective part of the analysis, we have good reason to believe that judges vary systematically in their use of discretion in at least two politically relevant areas, public and criminal law. Both a strictly individual analysis, and, more reliably, an affinity-group analysis distributed judges on dimensions registering Statism versus Individualism and Criminal Toughness versus Libertarianism. These distinctions are partially dependent on the judges' period of service: in the 'later' court there is near unanimity in being more 'individualistic' than 'statist', such that this dimension fails to distinguish groups as it did in the 'early' court. There still remains a serious cleavage on 'Criminal Toughness' because the newer appointees are markedly more 'prosecution oriented' that those who remain from the earlier court, although some of these were, in the previous court, themselves on the 'tougher' side. These 'obviously' political dimensions of judicial ideology penetrate into 'ordinary' legal cases, reflecting an extended concern for the weak, and possibly for those seeking to escape harsh obligations in contract law. The general shape of part of a judicial ideology operating through discretionary
38 The theoretical problems of deciding when a judgment is evidence of ideological bias, and what bias it might be evidence for, are very complex. Some discussion of this is contained in my forthcoming book: David Robertson, Judicial Ideology (Oxford: Clarendon, forthcoming 1982).
21
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judgments is therefore demonstrated in a way not entirely compatible with either class or orthodox models. Our interpretation is also different from American research into judicial behaviour.
JUDICIAL METHODOLOGY AS AN UNDERLYING DIMENSION
One is still a little hesitant in regarding this as more than surface evidence, or as an approximation. Might there not be a 'deeper structure' to judicial ideology, a yet further, less substantive, ideological distinction, one more directly related to judges' role perceptions than the distinction so far demonstrated? The discovery of such a deeper structure would not invalidate the results above; rather it would offer an answer to a troubling question. Why should some judges be more 'prosecution minded' or more 'statist' than others? Of course, some answers to this may be highly personal, lacking the generalizable nature of an ideological, professionally ratiocinative, categorization. Still it seems worthwhile asking whether there exist some very basic distinctions of judicial technique, judicial craftsmanship, and ultimate reactions to the nature of the law. One is asking, in effect, whether the tendency of Lord Z to find for the prosecution might depend not so much on his wanting to incarcerate the accused as on the interaction between the structure of criminal law and a belief he holds about how to apply law in general. Are there basic, purely 'methodological' or role beliefs that might generate the results shown above, or at least combine with the basic predispositions they demonstrate? Several known questions about the judicial role might serve as a test, apart from the argument from precedent that I dismiss. One might consider judges' views on the well-known rules of interpretation. Lord Simon has shown how a commitment to apply these systematically can lead a judge to a view without the nature of the litigants' interests being important. But all judges have roughly the same knowledge and understanding of these.39 One might take, from the Americans, a methodological distinction between 'strict' and 'wide' constructionism as the prevailing determinant of actual decisions. There may well be something in this. Table 15 demonstrates the effect of taking this variable into account in analysing the previously documented difference in the 'early' court on criminal justice. I have coded a group of criminal cases according to the nature of the interpretation of law used by the prosecution case. A 'narrow' interpretation is one where terms or words are considerably restricted in their scope, rather than being given a 'purposive' or
39 One of the best discussions of differences in interpretation strategies available refers not to UK Courts but to the European Court of Justice, in the papers given at the Judicial and Academic Conference of the Court 27/8 September 1976. These are available from the Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg. In particular the paper by H. Kutscher, a senior member of the bench, is valuable. Lord Denning's recent semiautobiographical The Discipline of Law (London: Butterworth, 1979) is the frankest account by a British judge of such matters.
judgments is therefore demonstrated in a way not entirely compatible with either class or orthodox models. Our interpretation is also different from American research into judicial behaviour.
JUDICIAL METHODOLOGY AS AN UNDERLYING DIMENSION
One is still a little hesitant in regarding this as more than surface evidence, or as an approximation. Might there not be a 'deeper structure' to judicial ideology, a yet further, less substantive, ideological distinction, one more directly related to judges' role perceptions than the distinction so far demonstrated? The discovery of such a deeper structure would not invalidate the results above; rather it would offer an answer to a troubling question. Why should some judges be more 'prosecution minded' or more 'statist' than others? Of course, some answers to this may be highly personal, lacking the generalizable nature of an ideological, professionally ratiocinative, categorization. Still it seems worthwhile asking whether there exist some very basic distinctions of judicial technique, judicial craftsmanship, and ultimate reactions to the nature of the law. One is asking, in effect, whether the tendency of Lord Z to find for the prosecution might depend not so much on his wanting to incarcerate the accused as on the interaction between the structure of criminal law and a belief he holds about how to apply law in general. Are there basic, purely 'methodological' or role beliefs that might generate the results shown above, or at least combine with the basic predispositions they demonstrate? Several known questions about the judicial role might serve as a test, apart from the argument from precedent that I dismiss. One might consider judges' views on the well-known rules of interpretation. Lord Simon has shown how a commitment to apply these systematically can lead a judge to a view without the nature of the litigants' interests being important. But all judges have roughly the same knowledge and understanding of these.39 One might take, from the Americans, a methodological distinction between 'strict' and 'wide' constructionism as the prevailing determinant of actual decisions. There may well be something in this. Table 15 demonstrates the effect of taking this variable into account in analysing the previously documented difference in the 'early' court on criminal justice. I have coded a group of criminal cases according to the nature of the interpretation of law used by the prosecution case. A 'narrow' interpretation is one where terms or words are considerably restricted in their scope, rather than being given a 'purposive' or
39 One of the best discussions of differences in interpretation strategies available refers not to UK Courts but to the European Court of Justice, in the papers given at the Judicial and Academic Conference of the Court 27/8 September 1976. These are available from the Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg. In particular the paper by H. Kutscher, a senior member of the bench, is valuable. Lord Denning's recent semiautobiographical The Discipline of Law (London: Butterworth, 1979) is the frankest account by a British judge of such matters.
judgments is therefore demonstrated in a way not entirely compatible with either class or orthodox models. Our interpretation is also different from American research into judicial behaviour.
JUDICIAL METHODOLOGY AS AN UNDERLYING DIMENSION
One is still a little hesitant in regarding this as more than surface evidence, or as an approximation. Might there not be a 'deeper structure' to judicial ideology, a yet further, less substantive, ideological distinction, one more directly related to judges' role perceptions than the distinction so far demonstrated? The discovery of such a deeper structure would not invalidate the results above; rather it would offer an answer to a troubling question. Why should some judges be more 'prosecution minded' or more 'statist' than others? Of course, some answers to this may be highly personal, lacking the generalizable nature of an ideological, professionally ratiocinative, categorization. Still it seems worthwhile asking whether there exist some very basic distinctions of judicial technique, judicial craftsmanship, and ultimate reactions to the nature of the law. One is asking, in effect, whether the tendency of Lord Z to find for the prosecution might depend not so much on his wanting to incarcerate the accused as on the interaction between the structure of criminal law and a belief he holds about how to apply law in general. Are there basic, purely 'methodological' or role beliefs that might generate the results shown above, or at least combine with the basic predispositions they demonstrate? Several known questions about the judicial role might serve as a test, apart from the argument from precedent that I dismiss. One might consider judges' views on the well-known rules of interpretation. Lord Simon has shown how a commitment to apply these systematically can lead a judge to a view without the nature of the litigants' interests being important. But all judges have roughly the same knowledge and understanding of these.39 One might take, from the Americans, a methodological distinction between 'strict' and 'wide' constructionism as the prevailing determinant of actual decisions. There may well be something in this. Table 15 demonstrates the effect of taking this variable into account in analysing the previously documented difference in the 'early' court on criminal justice. I have coded a group of criminal cases according to the nature of the interpretation of law used by the prosecution case. A 'narrow' interpretation is one where terms or words are considerably restricted in their scope, rather than being given a 'purposive' or
39 One of the best discussions of differences in interpretation strategies available refers not to UK Courts but to the European Court of Justice, in the papers given at the Judicial and Academic Conference of the Court 27/8 September 1976. These are available from the Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg. In particular the paper by H. Kutscher, a senior member of the bench, is valuable. Lord Denning's recent semiautobiographical The Discipline of Law (London: Butterworth, 1979) is the frankest account by a British judge of such matters.
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TABLE 1 5 Interaction Between 'Literal Interpretation' and Voting in Criminal Law Cases
(i) Prosecution relies on a 'wide' interpretation Group A Group B
No. of votes for prosecution I6 29 (64%) (69%) No. of votes for defence 9 13 (36%) (31%) Total 25 42 (Ioo%) (IOO%) Chi Square o-i8I, Probability 55-3
(2) Prosecution relies on a 'narrow' interpretation Group A Group B
No. of votes for prosecution 17 23 (46%) (79%) No. of votes for defence 20 6 (5 4) (21%) Total 37 29 (ioo%) (ioo%) Chi Square 7'6, Probability oo006
Note: Despite the very small numbers involved, the second table does reach a high level of statistical significance (probability oo006). It is however the difference in pattern between the tables to which attention is drawn.
'teleological' meaning from the scope of the Act. It is notable that, although Group B is in both cases more likely to vote for the prosecution, the extent of this difference varies greatly. Where the prosecution uses a 'wide' or purposive (might one say 'sensible'?) interpretation there is only a 5 per centage point difference between the groups. But in the second part of the table, where the prosecution case requires a very restrictive, or 'narrow', interpretation of clauses in statutes, sticking very literally to strict meanings, there is a huge difference, Group B being 33 percentage points more likely to uphold a conviction. Far various reasons, however, this distinction between 'strict' and 'broad' construction is not generally satisfactory. Unlike American judges, English judges tend to switch back and forth between these interpretative positions depending on their more basic reactions to the merits of the case. One can find pairs of cases where the same judges take different 'interpretation' approaches in order to arrive at results which are consistent on other values. A good example is given by Wilberforce and Dilhorne in two cases in 1976.40 4( Daymond v. South West Water Authority (1976), I All ER 39; Southendran v. Immigration Appeal Tribunal (1976), 3 All ER 6I I. See Robertson, Judicial Ideology, Chap. 2 for a discussion of these.
TABLE 1 5 Interaction Between 'Literal Interpretation' and Voting in Criminal Law Cases
(i) Prosecution relies on a 'wide' interpretation Group A Group B
No. of votes for prosecution I6 29 (64%) (69%) No. of votes for defence 9 13 (36%) (31%) Total 25 42 (Ioo%) (IOO%) Chi Square o-i8I, Probability 55-3
(2) Prosecution relies on a 'narrow' interpretation Group A Group B
No. of votes for prosecution 17 23 (46%) (79%) No. of votes for defence 20 6 (5 4) (21%) Total 37 29 (ioo%) (ioo%) Chi Square 7'6, Probability oo006
Note: Despite the very small numbers involved, the second table does reach a high level of statistical significance (probability oo006). It is however the difference in pattern between the tables to which attention is drawn.
'teleological' meaning from the scope of the Act. It is notable that, although Group B is in both cases more likely to vote for the prosecution, the extent of this difference varies greatly. Where the prosecution uses a 'wide' or purposive (might one say 'sensible'?) interpretation there is only a 5 per centage point difference between the groups. But in the second part of the table, where the prosecution case requires a very restrictive, or 'narrow', interpretation of clauses in statutes, sticking very literally to strict meanings, there is a huge difference, Group B being 33 percentage points more likely to uphold a conviction. Far various reasons, however, this distinction between 'strict' and 'broad' construction is not generally satisfactory. Unlike American judges, English judges tend to switch back and forth between these interpretative positions depending on their more basic reactions to the merits of the case. One can find pairs of cases where the same judges take different 'interpretation' approaches in order to arrive at results which are consistent on other values. A good example is given by Wilberforce and Dilhorne in two cases in 1976.40 4( Daymond v. South West Water Authority (1976), I All ER 39; Southendran v. Immigration Appeal Tribunal (1976), 3 All ER 6I I. See Robertson, Judicial Ideology, Chap. 2 for a discussion of these.
TABLE 1 5 Interaction Between 'Literal Interpretation' and Voting in Criminal Law Cases
(i) Prosecution relies on a 'wide' interpretation Group A Group B
No. of votes for prosecution I6 29 (64%) (69%) No. of votes for defence 9 13 (36%) (31%) Total 25 42 (Ioo%) (IOO%) Chi Square o-i8I, Probability 55-3
(2) Prosecution relies on a 'narrow' interpretation Group A Group B
No. of votes for prosecution 17 23 (46%) (79%) No. of votes for defence 20 6 (5 4) (21%) Total 37 29 (ioo%) (ioo%) Chi Square 7'6, Probability oo006
Note: Despite the very small numbers involved, the second table does reach a high level of statistical significance (probability oo006). It is however the difference in pattern between the tables to which attention is drawn.
'teleological' meaning from the scope of the Act. It is notable that, although Group B is in both cases more likely to vote for the prosecution, the extent of this difference varies greatly. Where the prosecution uses a 'wide' or purposive (might one say 'sensible'?) interpretation there is only a 5 per centage point difference between the groups. But in the second part of the table, where the prosecution case requires a very restrictive, or 'narrow', interpretation of clauses in statutes, sticking very literally to strict meanings, there is a huge difference, Group B being 33 percentage points more likely to uphold a conviction. Far various reasons, however, this distinction between 'strict' and 'broad' construction is not generally satisfactory. Unlike American judges, English judges tend to switch back and forth between these interpretative positions depending on their more basic reactions to the merits of the case. One can find pairs of cases where the same judges take different 'interpretation' approaches in order to arrive at results which are consistent on other values. A good example is given by Wilberforce and Dilhorne in two cases in 1976.40 4( Daymond v. South West Water Authority (1976), I All ER 39; Southendran v. Immigration Appeal Tribunal (1976), 3 All ER 6I I. See Robertson, Judicial Ideology, Chap. 2 for a discussion of these.
23
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In one Wilberforce took a 'strict construction' approach in order to uphold the intention of Parliament to allow a Water Authority to levy rates, in the other he took a 'liberal' line to protect an immigrant from deportation. Dilhorne reversed his 'methodology' in the other direction, in order to relieve the rate payer and to support the Home Office against the immigrant. Griffith helps make this point. In commenting on the Race Relations cases, he attacks the minimizing interpretation of the Act, the alternative view does not found itself on this individualistic position, does not think primarily of private rights. It makes other assumptions. It seeks to interpret the Race Relations Act in a way which will extend its operation and not restict it ... It regards racial discrimination not as an individual right but as a social wrong41
although I doubt whether he means the point to be taken in quite this fashion. He argues that the Lords should have chosen to interpret the meaning of 'the public or a section of the public' in such a way as to extend, rather than restrict, the scope of the Act. One can see that a very general distinction might exist between those who believe that statutes and precedents should, in general, be pushed to their logical conclusions, that law should continually extend the scope of its rights, obligations, duties and privileges, and a more cautious school. The more cautious would not necessarily, as Griffith believes, be protecting traditional privileges against reform, but much more generally be restricting legal intervention in life to the clearly intended minimum of legislators, both parliamentary and judicial. The 'extensionists' might be likened to social engineers, eager to solve as many problems and disputes as possible by extension of legal machinery, largely irrespective of the particular sides they favoured. The 'restrictionists', however, would be more conservative, being dubious of human potential to legislate solutions in general, and keen to keep tricky cases and problems out of the law.
TABLE 16 Voting of Lords Reid and Morris According to 'Restrictive v. Extensive' Interpretation
Lord Reid Lord Morris
No. of votes for the 'restrictive' 13 3 interpretation of a legal problem (68%) (I6%) No. of votes for the 'extensive' 6 i6 interpretation of a legal problem (32%) (84%) Total i9 I9 (I00oo%) (IOO%) Chi Square 10-795, Probability o-ooI
In one Wilberforce took a 'strict construction' approach in order to uphold the intention of Parliament to allow a Water Authority to levy rates, in the other he took a 'liberal' line to protect an immigrant from deportation. Dilhorne reversed his 'methodology' in the other direction, in order to relieve the rate payer and to support the Home Office against the immigrant. Griffith helps make this point. In commenting on the Race Relations cases, he attacks the minimizing interpretation of the Act, the alternative view does not found itself on this individualistic position, does not think primarily of private rights. It makes other assumptions. It seeks to interpret the Race Relations Act in a way which will extend its operation and not restict it ... It regards racial discrimination not as an individual right but as a social wrong41
although I doubt whether he means the point to be taken in quite this fashion. He argues that the Lords should have chosen to interpret the meaning of 'the public or a section of the public' in such a way as to extend, rather than restrict, the scope of the Act. One can see that a very general distinction might exist between those who believe that statutes and precedents should, in general, be pushed to their logical conclusions, that law should continually extend the scope of its rights, obligations, duties and privileges, and a more cautious school. The more cautious would not necessarily, as Griffith believes, be protecting traditional privileges against reform, but much more generally be restricting legal intervention in life to the clearly intended minimum of legislators, both parliamentary and judicial. The 'extensionists' might be likened to social engineers, eager to solve as many problems and disputes as possible by extension of legal machinery, largely irrespective of the particular sides they favoured. The 'restrictionists', however, would be more conservative, being dubious of human potential to legislate solutions in general, and keen to keep tricky cases and problems out of the law.
TABLE 16 Voting of Lords Reid and Morris According to 'Restrictive v. Extensive' Interpretation
Lord Reid Lord Morris
No. of votes for the 'restrictive' 13 3 interpretation of a legal problem (68%) (I6%) No. of votes for the 'extensive' 6 i6 interpretation of a legal problem (32%) (84%) Total i9 I9 (I00oo%) (IOO%) Chi Square 10-795, Probability o-ooI
In one Wilberforce took a 'strict construction' approach in order to uphold the intention of Parliament to allow a Water Authority to levy rates, in the other he took a 'liberal' line to protect an immigrant from deportation. Dilhorne reversed his 'methodology' in the other direction, in order to relieve the rate payer and to support the Home Office against the immigrant. Griffith helps make this point. In commenting on the Race Relations cases, he attacks the minimizing interpretation of the Act, the alternative view does not found itself on this individualistic position, does not think primarily of private rights. It makes other assumptions. It seeks to interpret the Race Relations Act in a way which will extend its operation and not restict it ... It regards racial discrimination not as an individual right but as a social wrong41
although I doubt whether he means the point to be taken in quite this fashion. He argues that the Lords should have chosen to interpret the meaning of 'the public or a section of the public' in such a way as to extend, rather than restrict, the scope of the Act. One can see that a very general distinction might exist between those who believe that statutes and precedents should, in general, be pushed to their logical conclusions, that law should continually extend the scope of its rights, obligations, duties and privileges, and a more cautious school. The more cautious would not necessarily, as Griffith believes, be protecting traditional privileges against reform, but much more generally be restricting legal intervention in life to the clearly intended minimum of legislators, both parliamentary and judicial. The 'extensionists' might be likened to social engineers, eager to solve as many problems and disputes as possible by extension of legal machinery, largely irrespective of the particular sides they favoured. The 'restrictionists', however, would be more conservative, being dubious of human potential to legislate solutions in general, and keen to keep tricky cases and problems out of the law.
TABLE 16 Voting of Lords Reid and Morris According to 'Restrictive v. Extensive' Interpretation
Lord Reid Lord Morris
No. of votes for the 'restrictive' 13 3 interpretation of a legal problem (68%) (I6%) No. of votes for the 'extensive' 6 i6 interpretation of a legal problem (32%) (84%) Total i9 I9 (I00oo%) (IOO%) Chi Square 10-795, Probability o-ooI
I wish to claim that such a distinction may well underlie, although not totally explain, the results in the previous analysis. It can only be proved by 41 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. 90.
I wish to claim that such a distinction may well underlie, although not totally explain, the results in the previous analysis. It can only be proved by 41 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. 90.
I wish to claim that such a distinction may well underlie, although not totally explain, the results in the previous analysis. It can only be proved by 41 Griffith, The Politics of the Judiciary, p. 90.
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research of some subtlety, involving a complex coding of many cases that has as yet not been undertaken. However, I can not only argue that it would make sense of the previous findings, but also indicate its plausibility in Table I6. So delicate a categorization as between 'extensive' and 'restrictive' coding of the central intent of cases cannot easily be done for many judges, so I discuss only one pair of judges, amongst the most active for the period covered here, Lords Reid and Morris. More narrowly still, I consider only nineteen randomly chosen non-unanimous cases that they both heard, which I could categorize in terms of which side was pushing an 'extensive' interpretation and which a 'restrictive' interpretation of the law. Reid was the leading member of Group A during the 'early' court, i.e., those less prosecutionminded but also more statist and more 'power prone' in the ordinary civil cases. Morris was the longest serving member of Group B, hearing more cases than any Law Lord after Reid. Table I6 shows that a restrictive/ extensive distinction accounts very well indeed for this group difference. Of the nineteen cases, Reid voted for the 'restrictive' interpretation thirteen times, while Morris voted for the 'extensive' argument sixteen times; Reid fits the pattern 68 per cent of the time, Morris 84 per cent. Alternatively, only nine out of thirty-eight (24 per cent) of their decisions do not fit. A suggestion as pregnant for the understanding of discretionary judgement as this, largely because it is uncontroversial and orthodox, will not be accepted without much more sophisticated, probably non-statistical, evidence. Nor should it be. I would argue, however, that a serious case has been made out for the existence, in Britain, of a specifically judicial ideology, in part characterized by the Criminal Justice and Public Law dimensions demonstrated above, and in part explained by a deeper distinction, a systematically maintained choice between extending and restricting the general scope of law. Naturally there is very much more to do before this style of analysis has proved itself. It needs to be extended to other courts, to more areas of law, and to other possible restrictions on decisions. Two overwhelming questions stand out, each capable of solution by jurimetrics of this type. The first is about discretion. Just how much do judges think there is? Where and why does it appear? Much has been written in general terms about this, but we have little systematic evidence, without which we cannot properly estimate the relevance of the research presented here. The second question is more properly one for political science. We can hardly believe that the views of all judges are equally important in influencing their brethren; but who are the more influential, and why, we cannot yet say, although once again a jurimetric approach could say quite a lot. For the moment one dares to say that there does appear to exist the sort of ideology, with the sort of consequences, that our basic premises outline.
Judicial Ideology in the House of Lords 25
research of some subtlety, involving a complex coding of many cases that has as yet not been undertaken. However, I can not only argue that it would make sense of the previous findings, but also indicate its plausibility in Table I6. So delicate a categorization as between 'extensive' and 'restrictive' coding of the central intent of cases cannot easily be done for many judges, so I discuss only one pair of judges, amongst the most active for the period covered here, Lords Reid and Morris. More narrowly still, I consider only nineteen randomly chosen non-unanimous cases that they both heard, which I could categorize in terms of which side was pushing an 'extensive' interpretation and which a 'restrictive' interpretation of the law. Reid was the leading member of Group A during the 'early' court, i.e., those less prosecutionminded but also more statist and more 'power prone' in the ordinary civil cases. Morris was the longest serving member of Group B, hearing more cases than any Law Lord after Reid. Table I6 shows that a restrictive/ extensive distinction accounts very well indeed for this group difference. Of the nineteen cases, Reid voted for the 'restrictive' interpretation thirteen times, while Morris voted for the 'extensive' argument sixteen times; Reid fits the pattern 68 per cent of the time, Morris 84 per cent. Alternatively, only nine out of thirty-eight (24 per cent) of their decisions do not fit. A suggestion as pregnant for the understanding of discretionary judgement as this, largely because it is uncontroversial and orthodox, will not be accepted without much more sophisticated, probably non-statistical, evidence. Nor should it be. I would argue, however, that a serious case has been made out for the existence, in Britain, of a specifically judicial ideology, in part characterized by the Criminal Justice and Public Law dimensions demonstrated above, and in part explained by a deeper distinction, a systematically maintained choice between extending and restricting the general scope of law. Naturally there is very much more to do before this style of analysis has proved itself. It needs to be extended to other courts, to more areas of law, and to other possible restrictions on decisions. Two overwhelming questions stand out, each capable of solution by jurimetrics of this type. The first is about discretion. Just how much do judges think there is? Where and why does it appear? Much has been written in general terms about this, but we have little systematic evidence, without which we cannot properly estimate the relevance of the research presented here. The second question is more properly one for political science. We can hardly believe that the views of all judges are equally important in influencing their brethren; but who are the more influential, and why, we cannot yet say, although once again a jurimetric approach could say quite a lot. For the moment one dares to say that there does appear to exist the sort of ideology, with the sort of consequences, that our basic premises outline.
Judicial Ideology in the House of Lords 25
research of some subtlety, involving a complex coding of many cases that has as yet not been undertaken. However, I can not only argue that it would make sense of the previous findings, but also indicate its plausibility in Table I6. So delicate a categorization as between 'extensive' and 'restrictive' coding of the central intent of cases cannot easily be done for many judges, so I discuss only one pair of judges, amongst the most active for the period covered here, Lords Reid and Morris. More narrowly still, I consider only nineteen randomly chosen non-unanimous cases that they both heard, which I could categorize in terms of which side was pushing an 'extensive' interpretation and which a 'restrictive' interpretation of the law. Reid was the leading member of Group A during the 'early' court, i.e., those less prosecutionminded but also more statist and more 'power prone' in the ordinary civil cases. Morris was the longest serving member of Group B, hearing more cases than any Law Lord after Reid. Table I6 shows that a restrictive/ extensive distinction accounts very well indeed for this group difference. Of the nineteen cases, Reid voted for the 'restrictive' interpretation thirteen times, while Morris voted for the 'extensive' argument sixteen times; Reid fits the pattern 68 per cent of the time, Morris 84 per cent. Alternatively, only nine out of thirty-eight (24 per cent) of their decisions do not fit. A suggestion as pregnant for the understanding of discretionary judgement as this, largely because it is uncontroversial and orthodox, will not be accepted without much more sophisticated, probably non-statistical, evidence. Nor should it be. I would argue, however, that a serious case has been made out for the existence, in Britain, of a specifically judicial ideology, in part characterized by the Criminal Justice and Public Law dimensions demonstrated above, and in part explained by a deeper distinction, a systematically maintained choice between extending and restricting the general scope of law. Naturally there is very much more to do before this style of analysis has proved itself. It needs to be extended to other courts, to more areas of law, and to other possible restrictions on decisions. Two overwhelming questions stand out, each capable of solution by jurimetrics of this type. The first is about discretion. Just how much do judges think there is? Where and why does it appear? Much has been written in general terms about this, but we have little systematic evidence, without which we cannot properly estimate the relevance of the research presented here. The second question is more properly one for political science. We can hardly believe that the views of all judges are equally important in influencing their brethren; but who are the more influential, and why, we cannot yet say, although once again a jurimetric approach could say quite a lot. For the moment one dares to say that there does appear to exist the sort of ideology, with the sort of consequences, that our basic premises outline.
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